Arezzo
vs
Sudtirol
1 – 4 Full time
| 26′ | Artur Ioniță | ||
| 29′ | Lorenzo Anghele | ||
| 45′ | Fabio Rispoli | ||
| 45′ | Bjarki Steinn BjarkasonSimone Davì | ||
| 45′ | Lorenzo AngheleAljosa Vasic | ||
| 46′ | Mattia Viviani | ||
| 51′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes | ||
| 54′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes | ||
| 56′ | Pietro CianciAlberto Cerri | ||
| 57′ | Mattia VivianiLuca Chierico | ||
| 59′ | Alvin OkoroKenny Meddy Mixtur | ||
| 62′ | Marco OlivieriAlessandro Arena | ||
| 68′ | Kenny Meddy Mixtur | ||
| 71′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesRares Burnete | ||
| 78′ | mattia salaGiuseppe Kevin Leone | ||
| 78′ | Emiliano PattarelloLeonardo Mancuso | ||
| 79′ | Andrea Giorgini | ||
| 81′ | Leonardo Mancuso | ||
| 83′ | Giacomo StabileDavide Veroli |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 308 | Accurate passes | 503 |
Arezzo vs Sudtirol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arezzo vs Sudtirol
| Probability | Arezzo | Draw | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 31.4% | 27.5% |
| Market | 41.8% | 30.5% | 27.7% |
| Final | 41.6% | 30.7% | 27.6% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.2% |
Why Arezzo
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arezzo and Sudtirol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Arezzo and Sudtirol attack and defence ratings
Arezzo
Sudtirol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arezzo vs Sudtirol: result vs prediction
Arezzo 1 – 4 Sudtirol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arezzo vs Sudtirol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arezzo | 41.6% | 2.40 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arezzo | 41.6% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Sudtirol | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arezzo win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Arezzo vs Sudtirol stats
Arezzo vs Sudtirol head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-28 | Sudtirol | Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B | 1-0 |
| 2020-12-06 | Arezzo | Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone B | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arezzo vs Sudtirol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 30.5%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.08 | 3.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.10 | 3.59 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.02 | 3.26 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .