Sampdoria
vs
Catanzaro
2 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Pietro Lemmello | ||
| 17′ | Liam Henderson | ||
| 38′ | Stefan Gartenmann | ||
| 45′ | Stefan Gartenmann | ||
| 55′ | Antoine MakoumbouSalvatore Esposito | ||
| 56′ | Lorenzo Insigne | ||
| 63′ | Marco RuggeroRuggero Frosinini | ||
| 63′ | Mehdi DorvalAntonio Candela | ||
| 64′ | Oliver Abildgaard | ||
| 66′ | N'Dri Koffi | ||
| 70′ | N'Dri KoffiEmanuele Pecorino | ||
| 70′ | Nicola MostiSamuel Giovane | ||
| 70′ | Lorenzo InsigneTjas Begic | ||
| 70′ | Yari VerschaerenDanel Sinani | ||
| 75′ | Samuel Giovane | ||
| 79′ | Tobias LauritsenGennaro Tutino | ||
| 79′ | Liam HendersonKevin Mbabu | ||
| 84′ | Simone PafundiFederico Di Francesco | ||
| 85′ | Tjas Begic | ||
| 90′ | Kevin Mbabu | ||
| 90′ | Matias Antonini Lui |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 394 |
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
| Probability | Sampdoria | Draw | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.8% | 29.9% | 43.4% |
| Market | 46.5% | 27.7% | 25.8% |
| Final | 41.6% | 28.2% | 30.2% |
| Edge | -19.7% | +2.2% | +17.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sampdoria and Catanzaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Sampdoria and Catanzaro attack and defence ratings
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro: result vs prediction
Sampdoria 2 – 1 Catanzaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 41.6% | 2.41 | -19.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 41.6% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Catanzaro | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sampdoria win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 73.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro stats
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Catanzaro | Sampdoria | Italy Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Sampdoria | Catanzaro | Italy Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Catanzaro | Sampdoria | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Sampdoria | Catanzaro | Serie B | 3-3 |
| 2024-05-10 | Catanzaro | Sampdoria | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2023-10-01 | Sampdoria | Catanzaro | Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 27.7%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.38 | 3.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 2.97 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .