Catanzaro
vs
Mantova
1 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | Stefano Cella | ||
| 30′ | Bodin Tomašević | ||
| 34′ | Francesco Ruocco | ||
| 45′ | Nicola MostiFranky Tchaouna | ||
| 45′ | Ruggero FrosininiFederico Di Francesco | ||
| 55′ | Davide Bragantini | ||
| 64′ | Mehdi DorvalMarco D'Alessandro | ||
| 64′ | Pietro LemmelloEmanuele Pecorino | ||
| 66′ | Davide BragantiniIsmael Cajazzo | ||
| 66′ | Rares IlieJean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo | ||
| 71′ | Francesco RuoccoEttore Gliozzi | ||
| 72′ | Bodin TomaševićTommaso Del Lungo | ||
| 78′ | Gabriele AlesiG. Arditi | ||
| 83′ | Rachid KoudaSambaly Keita | ||
| 86′ | Marco Ruggero | ||
| 90′ | Matias Antonini Lui | ||
| 90′ | Fahem Benaissa Yahia | ||
| 90′ | Federico Di Francesco |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 336 | Accurate passes | 319 |
Catanzaro vs Mantova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Catanzaro vs Mantova
| Probability | Catanzaro | Draw | Mantova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 24.2% | 36.4% |
| Market | 40.2% | 27.8% | 32.0% |
| Final | 40.0% | 26.9% | 33.1% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -0.9% | +1.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Catanzaro and Mantova expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Catanzaro and Mantova attack and defence ratings
Catanzaro
Mantova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Catanzaro vs Mantova: result vs prediction
Catanzaro 1 – 3 Mantova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Catanzaro vs Mantova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Catanzaro | 40.0% | 2.50 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Catanzaro | 40.0% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Mantova | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Catanzaro win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Catanzaro vs Mantova stats
Catanzaro and Mantova recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Catanzaro and Mantova going into this match
Catanzaro record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mantova record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Catanzaro vs Mantova head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Catanzaro | Mantova | Italy Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mantova | Catanzaro | Italy Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-13 | Mantova | Catanzaro | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Catanzaro | Mantova | Serie B | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Catanzaro vs Mantova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 27.8%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.38 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.38 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.31 | 3.08 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.10 | 2.69 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .