Catanzaro
vs
Mantova
Garuda Lions Prediction: Catanzaro
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Catanzaro vs Mantova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Catanzaro vs Mantova
| Probability | Catanzaro | Draw | Mantova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 24.2% | 36.2% |
| Market | 40.3% | 27.7% | 32.0% |
| Final | 40.1% | 26.8% | 33.1% |
| Edge | -0.8% | -3.4% | +4.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Catanzaro vs Mantova match preview
Catanzaro will face Mantova in a Serie B clash on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 40% probability of a Catanzaro victory, while Mantova stands at 36%, and a draw is at 24%. The expected goals for Catanzaro are 1.78 and for Mantova 1.70, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Catanzaro, with a probability of 8%.
Both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, with 67% likelihood for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score. Catanzaro's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with their last five matches yielding one win, while Mantova has been more consistent, securing two wins in their last three outings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Catanzaro and Mantova expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Catanzaro and Mantova attack and defence ratings
Catanzaro
Mantova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Catanzaro vs Mantova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Catanzaro | 40.1% | 2.49 | -0.8% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Catanzaro | 40.1% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Mantova | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Catanzaro win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Catanzaro vs Mantova stats
Catanzaro vs Mantova head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Catanzaro | Mantova | Italy Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mantova | Catanzaro | Italy Serie B | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Catanzaro vs Mantova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 27.7%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.38 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.38 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.46 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 3.08 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .