Garuda Lions
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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 6

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa

0 – 3 Full time

19′Filippo Pittarello
27′P. Bianco
45′Marco CarraroNicola Rauti
48′Arturo Calabresi
54′Alessandro PietrelliL. Caferri
54′Giuseppe CuomoMattia Valoti
63′Maxime Leverbe
64′Filippo AlessioGabriele Moncini
69′Mehdi Léris
72′Matteo TramoniEmanuele Rao
72′Stefano MoreoTommaso Marras
72′Andrea PrimassoRosen Bozhinov
73′Maxime LeverbeFilippo Costa
86′Simone ZanonFrancesco Coppola
90′Mehdi LérisSimone Canestrelli
90′Emanuele Rao

Stadio Romeo Menti, VicenzaReferee: Davide Di Marco

Vicenza Virtus 39%
Draw 26%
Pisa 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 9
44 Possession % 56
6 Corners 12
16 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
6 Saves 2
332 Accurate passes 389

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVicenza VirtusDrawPisa
Model57.3%23.1%19.6%
Market32.3%27.4%40.3%
Final38.5%26.4%35.1%
Edge+6.3%-1.1%-5.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vicenza Virtus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.13.
  • The market prices Vicenza Virtus below our published probability: +6.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vicenza Virtus ↓ / Pisa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 5% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Vicenza Virtus and Pisa expected goals

Vicenza Virtus 2.03
Pisa 1.13

Total expected goals: 3.16

Vicenza Virtus and Pisa attack and defence ratings

Vicenza Virtus

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Pisa

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa: result vs prediction

Vicenza Virtus 0 – 3 Pisa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vicenza Virtus 38.5% 2.60 +6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.8% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vicenza Virtus38.5%
Draw26.4%
Pisa35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)61.5%
Handicap -1Vicenza Virtus win35.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss42.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
2-19.9%
2-08.8%

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa stats

Vicenza Virtus and Pisa recent form

newest first
Vicenza Virtus LDDLWD
Pisa DLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vicenza Virtus and Pisa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vicenza Virtus record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pisa record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Vicenza Virtus wins 3Draws 1Pisa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-02-15PisaVicenza VirtusSerie B2-2
2021-09-18Vicenza VirtusPisaSerie B1-3
2021-02-27PisaVicenza VirtusSerie B2-2
2020-10-31Vicenza VirtusPisaSerie B4-4
2017-03-12Vicenza VirtusPisaSerie B2-1
2016-10-15PisaVicenza VirtusSerie B0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 27.4%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.87 3.38 2.35
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.30
BetVictor 2.80 3.40 2.25
Betano 3.00 3.40 2.35
Betfair 2.88 3.50 2.30
Dafabet 2.95 3.45 2.35
Marathonbet 2.86 3.38 2.33
Pinnacle 3.06 3.40 2.40
SBO 2.72 3.05 2.19
William Hill 2.90 3.20 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▲ +0.23
X 3.40 ▲ +0.06
2 2.31 ▼ -0.18

13 snapshots recorded, from .