Vicenza Virtus
vs
Pisa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vicenza Virtus
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa
| Probability | Vicenza Virtus | Draw | Pisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 23.1% | 19.7% |
| Market | 32.2% | 27.6% | 40.2% |
| Final | 38.5% | 26.4% | 35.1% |
| Edge | +25.0% | -4.4% | -20.5% |
Why Vicenza Virtus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Vicenza Virtus below the model: +25.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.02, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa match preview
Vicenza Virtus hosts Pisa in a Serie B clash with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 41% probability of a Vicenza Virtus victory, while Pisa has a 33% chance, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Vicenza Virtus at 2.03 compared to Pisa's 1.13, aligning with the model's most likely scoreline of 2-1, which has a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Vicenza Virtus with mixed results, recording one win in their last six matches (L-D-D-L-W-D), while Pisa has also struggled, with two wins in their last six (D-L-L-W-W-L). The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 61%, and both teams scoring is projected at 60%, indicating a potentially competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vicenza Virtus and Pisa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Vicenza Virtus and Pisa attack and defence ratings
Vicenza Virtus
Pisa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vicenza Virtus | 38.5% | 2.60 | +25.0% | 3.02 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vicenza Virtus | 38.5% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Pisa | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vicenza Virtus win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa stats
Vicenza Virtus and Pisa recent form
| Vicenza Virtus |
LDDLWD |
| Pisa |
DLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vicenza Virtus and Pisa season so far
Vicenza Virtus record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pisa record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-15 | Pisa | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2021-09-18 | Vicenza Virtus | Pisa | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2021-02-27 | Pisa | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-31 | Vicenza Virtus | Pisa | Serie B | 4-4 |
| 2017-03-12 | Vicenza Virtus | Pisa | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2016-10-15 | Pisa | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.2%, draw 27.6%, away 40.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.38 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.38 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.36 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.06 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .