Sudtirol
vs
Ascoli
0 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | Salvatore Molina | ||
| 45′ | Alvin OkoroKenny Meddy Mixtur | ||
| 48′ | Giacomo Stabile | ||
| 60′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes | ||
| 66′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesRares Burnete | ||
| 67′ | Rares Burnete | ||
| 73′ | Andrea·SilipoGiacomo De Pieri | ||
| 73′ | Matteo Brunoriamine chakir | ||
| 73′ | Tommaso MilaneseGennao Acampora | ||
| 75′ | Nicholas Rizzo | ||
| 75′ | Aljosa VasicLorenzo Anghele | ||
| 80′ | Giacomo StabileDavide Veroli | ||
| 80′ | Fabio RispoliDhirar Brik | ||
| 87′ | Simone D'UffiziDon Bolsius |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 319 | Accurate passes | 489 |
Sudtirol vs Ascoli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sudtirol vs Ascoli
| Probability | Sudtirol | Draw | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 29.7% | 27.3% |
| Market | 38.0% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| Final | 39.2% | 29.8% | 30.9% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -0.0% | -1.2% |
Why Sudtirol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.04.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sudtirol and Ascoli expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Sudtirol and Ascoli attack and defence ratings
Sudtirol
Ascoli
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sudtirol vs Ascoli: result vs prediction
Sudtirol 0 – 0 Ascoli
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sudtirol vs Ascoli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sudtirol | 39.2% | 2.55 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sudtirol | 39.2% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Ascoli | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sudtirol win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Sudtirol vs Ascoli stats
Sudtirol and Ascoli recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sudtirol and Ascoli going into this match
Sudtirol record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Ascoli record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Sudtirol vs Ascoli head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-04 | Ascoli | Sudtirol | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Sudtirol | Ascoli | Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Ascoli | Sudtirol | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-27 | Sudtirol | Ascoli | Serie B | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sudtirol vs Ascoli odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 29.9%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
| SBO | 2.27 | 2.98 | 2.67 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .