Benevento
vs
Cesena
2 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | Antonis Siatounis | ||
| 44′ | Christian Kouan | ||
| 45′ | Emil BohinenMatteo Guidi | ||
| 45′ | Marco Dalla VecchiaAntonio Fiori | ||
| 62′ | Davide LamestaChristian Dalle Mura | ||
| 67′ | Luca D'AndreaAlessandro Debenedetti | ||
| 68′ | Riccardo PaganoX. Druiventak | ||
| 75′ | Andrea CiofiVittorio Magni | ||
| 79′ | David OkerekeLuigi Cherubini | ||
| 79′ | Edoardo·PierozziRaffaele Romano | ||
| 81′ | Luigi Cherubini | ||
| 84′ | Mattia MaitaPier Luigi·Simonetti | ||
| 85′ | Raffaele Romano | ||
| 85′ | Stefano Scognamillo | ||
| 86′ | Francesco Salvemini | ||
| 90′ | Luigi Cherubini |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 379 |
Benevento vs Cesena overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Benevento vs Cesena
| Probability | Benevento | Draw | Cesena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 23.9% | 19.5% |
| Market | 49.3% | 26.6% | 24.0% |
| Final | 51.1% | 25.9% | 22.9% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -0.7% | -1.1% |
Why Benevento
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Benevento and Cesena expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Benevento and Cesena attack and defence ratings
Benevento
Cesena
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Benevento vs Cesena: result vs prediction
Benevento 2 – 0 Cesena
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Benevento vs Cesena markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benevento | 51.1% | 1.96 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benevento | 51.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Cesena | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benevento win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Benevento vs Cesena stats
Benevento and Cesena recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Benevento and Cesena going into this match
Benevento record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cesena record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Benevento vs Cesena head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-04-25 | Cesena | Benevento | Serie B | 4-1 |
| 2016-12-05 | Benevento | Cesena | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Benevento vs Cesena odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 26.6%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.58 | 3.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.58 | 3.96 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.62 | 3.94 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.10 | 3.26 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .