Carrarese
vs
Benevento
0 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Antonis Siatounis | ||
| 49′ | Tommaso RubinoLuka Topalovic | ||
| 49′ | Nicolas SchiaviGabriele parlanti | ||
| 59′ | Antonis SiatounisAntonio prisco | ||
| 61′ | Gabriele parlanti | ||
| 66′ | Antonio prisco | ||
| 66′ | Antonio prisco | ||
| 68′ | G. MarconiMoustapha Cisse | ||
| 68′ | Colin DagbaNicolo Cudrig | ||
| 68′ | Fabio AndreaNiccolò Belloni | ||
| 77′ | David OkerekeLuigi Cherubini | ||
| 85′ | Christian Kouan | ||
| 87′ | Leonardo SernicolaPietro Beruatto | ||
| 87′ | Francesco SalveminiG. Mignani | ||
| 87′ | Davide LamestaLuca Caldirola |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 309 | Accurate passes | 417 |
Carrarese vs Benevento overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrarese vs Benevento
| Probability | Carrarese | Draw | Benevento |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 29.5% | 36.1% |
| Market | 30.0% | 28.3% | 41.7% |
| Final | 31.1% | 28.6% | 40.3% |
| Edge | +4.4% | +1.2% | -5.6% |
Why Benevento
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrarese and Benevento expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Carrarese and Benevento attack and defence ratings
Carrarese
Benevento
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrarese vs Benevento: result vs prediction
Carrarese 0 – 1 Benevento
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrarese vs Benevento markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benevento | 40.3% | 2.48 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrarese | 31.1% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Benevento | 40.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benevento win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Carrarese vs Benevento stats
Carrarese vs Benevento head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | Benevento | Carrarese | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-28 | Carrarese | Benevento | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrarese vs Benevento odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 28.3%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.11 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27 | 3.43 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 2.99 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .