Verona
vs
Vicenza Virtus
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Seid KoracAndrias Edmundsson | ||
| 37′ | Tomas Suslov | ||
| 45′ | Andrias Edmundsson | ||
| 45′ | Tomas SuslovSalvatore Cerbone | ||
| 45′ | Samuele MulattieriDailon Livramento | ||
| 49′ | Nicolò Brighenti | ||
| 58′ | Nicola Rauti | ||
| 59′ | Paweł DawidowiczTobias Slotsager | ||
| 59′ | Alessandro BellemoRaul talarico | ||
| 67′ | Nicola RautiClaudio Morra | ||
| 67′ | Nicolò BrighentiMaxime Leverbe | ||
| 67′ | Filippo AlessioMattia Valoti | ||
| 68′ | Davide De BattistiDaniel Mosquera | ||
| 70′ | Mattia Valoti | ||
| 74′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 76′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 78′ | Giuseppe CuomoGabriele Moncini | ||
| 85′ | Nunzio Lella | ||
| 90′ | Dailon Livramento |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 436 | Accurate passes | 302 |
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verona vs Vicenza Virtus
| Probability | Verona | Draw | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.9% | 24.5% | 21.6% |
| Market | 50.2% | 26.5% | 23.3% |
| Final | 51.1% | 26.0% | 22.9% |
| Edge | +3.7% | -2.0% | -1.7% |
Why Verona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Verona below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verona and Vicenza Virtus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Verona and Vicenza Virtus attack and defence ratings
Verona
Vicenza Virtus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus: result vs prediction
Verona 2 – 1 Vicenza Virtus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 51.1% | 1.96 | +3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 51.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Vicenza Virtus | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verona win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus stats
Verona and Vicenza Virtus recent form
| Verona |
LWWDLD |
| Vicenza Virtus |
DDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-05-01 | Verona | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 3-2 |
| 2016-12-10 | Vicenza Virtus | Verona | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Verona vs Vicenza Virtus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.2%, draw 26.5%, away 23.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.65 | 3.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.65 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.73 | 4.19 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.38 | 3.59 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .