Modena
vs
Verona
3 – 2 Full time
| 13′ | Giuseppe Caso | ||
| 16′ | Alessandro Bianco | ||
| 24′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 28′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 45′ | andrea le borgne | ||
| 53′ | Alessandro BiancoFrancesco Folino | ||
| 53′ | Giacomo OlzerAndrea Belotti | ||
| 54′ | Andrias Edmundsson | ||
| 68′ | Nunzio LellaAntoine Bernede | ||
| 68′ | Davide De BattistiDomagoj Bradaric | ||
| 68′ | Dailon LivramentoKacper Sezonienko | ||
| 74′ | Domagoj BradaricNicolo Calabrese | ||
| 77′ | Andrias Edmundsson | ||
| 79′ | Daniel MosqueraTobias Slotsager | ||
| 81′ | Paulo AzziDaniele Montevago | ||
| 85′ | Daniele Montevago | ||
| 89′ | Gastón BrugmanWisdom Acquah | ||
| 90′ | Andrea Belotti | ||
| 90′ | Andrea Belotti |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 435 | Accurate passes | 237 |
Modena vs Verona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Modena vs Verona
| Probability | Modena | Draw | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 27.8% | 27.8% |
| Market | 46.7% | 28.3% | 25.1% |
| Final | 46.1% | 28.2% | 25.7% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -0.1% | +0.7% |
Why Modena
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.17.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Modena and Verona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Modena and Verona attack and defence ratings
Modena
Verona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Modena vs Verona: result vs prediction
Modena 3 – 2 Verona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Modena vs Verona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Modena | 46.1% | 2.17 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Modena | 46.1% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Verona | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Modena win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Modena vs Verona stats
Modena and Verona recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Modena and Verona going into this match
Modena record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Verona record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Modena vs Verona head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-29 | Verona | Modena | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Modena vs Verona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 28.3%, away 25.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.24 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.24 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.32 | 4.19 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.17 | 3.32 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .