Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 6

Arezzo vs Cremonese

0 – 0 Full time

48′Alberto Cerri
55′Michele CollocoloTommaso Barbieri
55′Marco NastiTommaso Berti
57′Giuseppe Pezzella
59′Giuseppe Pezzella
62′Emiliano PattarelloAlessandro Arena
62′Alberto CerriLeonardo Mancuso
62′Giuseppe Kevin LeoneCamillo Tavernelli
68′Jari VandeputteSimone Lottici Tessadri
68′Alberto GrassiAdin Ličina
76′Luca ChiericoShaka Mawuli Eklu
76′Salvatore EliaManuel De Luca
78′mattia salaPietro Cianci
81′Andrea Fulignati
83′Fabio Pecchia
89′Alessandro Arena

Stadio Città di Arezzo, ArezzoReferee: Andrea Zanotti

Arezzo 29%
Draw 29%
Cremonese 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 2
62 Possession % 38
3 Corners 1
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
495 Accurate passes 268

Arezzo vs Cremonese overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arezzo vs Cremonese

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArezzoDrawCremonese
Model32.9%27.8%39.3%
Market28.3%30.0%41.7%
Final29.5%29.4%41.1%
Edge+1.1%-0.5%-0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arezzo ↓ / Cremonese → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Arezzo and Cremonese expected goals

Arezzo 1.31
Cremonese 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.77

Arezzo and Cremonese attack and defence ratings

Arezzo

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Cremonese

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arezzo vs Cremonese: result vs prediction

Arezzo 0 – 0 Cremonese

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Arezzo vs Cremonese markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cremonese 41.1% 2.43 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.2% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arezzo29.5%
Draw29.4%
Cremonese41.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.2%
Under 2.547.8%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.9%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.5%
Handicap -1Cremonese win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-28.7%
0-18.0%

Arezzo vs Cremonese stats

Arezzo and Cremonese recent form

newest first
Arezzo LWLLWL
Cremonese DDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arezzo and Cremonese going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arezzo record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Cremonese record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Arezzo vs Cremonese head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Arezzo wins 0Draws 3Cremonese wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-09-30CremoneseArezzoCoppa Italia4-0
2017-02-26ArezzoCremoneseSerie C0-1
2016-10-09CremoneseArezzoSerie C3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arezzo vs Cremonese odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 30.0%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.31 3.10 2.25
Bet365 3.30 3.20 2.20
BetVictor 3.20 3.13 2.15
Betano 3.25 3.25 2.30
Betfair 3.50 3.00 2.20
Dafabet 3.30 3.25 2.30
Marathonbet 3.30 3.10 2.23
Pinnacle 3.58 3.15 2.29
SBO 3.15 3.04 2.16
William Hill 3.10 3.00 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▲ +0.39
X 3.12 ▲ +0.03
2 2.24 ▼ -0.21

14 snapshots recorded, from .