Arezzo
vs
Cremonese
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cremonese
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Arezzo vs Cremonese overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arezzo vs Cremonese
| Probability | Arezzo | Draw | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 27.8% | 39.4% |
| Market | 31.4% | 30.1% | 38.5% |
| Final | 31.8% | 29.5% | 38.7% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.46, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Arezzo vs Cremonese match preview
In the upcoming Serie B match, Arezzo will face Cremonese with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a competitive encounter, with Cremonese holding a slight edge at 38% probability of winning, compared to Arezzo's 32% and a 30% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with Arezzo projected to score 1.31 and Cremonese 1.45.
Recent form shows Arezzo with a mixed record of L-W-L-L-W-L, while Cremonese has two draws followed by a win and two losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 52%, and both teams scoring is at 57%, indicating potential for an engaging match. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Cremonese, with a 9% probability.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arezzo and Cremonese expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Arezzo and Cremonese attack and defence ratings
Arezzo
Cremonese
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arezzo vs Cremonese markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 38.7% | 2.58 | +0.8% | 2.46 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arezzo | 31.8% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Cremonese | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Arezzo vs Cremonese stats
Arezzo and Cremonese recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arezzo and Cremonese season so far
Arezzo record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Cremonese record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Arezzo vs Cremonese head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-30 | Cremonese | Arezzo | Coppa Italia | 4-0 |
| 2017-02-26 | Arezzo | Cremonese | Serie C | 0-1 |
| 2016-10-09 | Cremonese | Arezzo | Serie C | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arezzo vs Cremonese odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 30.1%, away 38.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.10 | 2.46 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.92 | 3.10 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.04 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 2.94 | 2.27 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .