Sampdoria
vs
Arezzo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sampdoria
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Sampdoria vs Arezzo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sampdoria vs Arezzo
| Probability | Sampdoria | Draw | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.9% | 29.2% | 30.9% |
| Market | 50.2% | 26.8% | 23.0% |
| Final | 47.7% | 27.4% | 24.9% |
| Edge | -10.3% | +2.5% | +7.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.86, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sampdoria vs Arezzo match preview
Sampdoria faces Arezzo in a Serie B matchup, with Sampdoria holding a 49% probability of winning, while Arezzo has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Expected goals for Sampdoria stand at 1.36, compared to Arezzo's 1.16, indicating a closely contested match.
In terms of recent form, Sampdoria has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-L-L-L-D), while Arezzo has shown slightly better form with two wins in their last six (D-L-W-L-L-W). The probabilities for over 2.5 goals sit at 46%, and both teams to score is forecasted at 52%, suggesting a potential for a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sampdoria and Arezzo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Sampdoria and Arezzo attack and defence ratings
Sampdoria
Arezzo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sampdoria vs Arezzo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 47.7% | 2.10 | -10.3% | 1.86 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sampdoria | 47.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Arezzo | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sampdoria win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Sampdoria vs Arezzo stats
Sampdoria and Arezzo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sampdoria and Arezzo season so far
Sampdoria record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Arezzo record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Sampdoria vs Arezzo head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sampdoria vs Arezzo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 26.5%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.54 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.54 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.57 | 4.25 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.09 | 3.57 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .