Pisa
vs
Cremonese
3 – 1 Full time
Pisa vs Cremonese overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pisa vs Cremonese
| Probability | Pisa | Draw | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 29.8% | 33.5% |
| Market | 44.9% | 29.2% | 25.8% |
| Final | 42.9% | 29.4% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -8.3% | +0.6% | +7.7% |
Why Pisa
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pisa and Cremonese expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Pisa and Cremonese attack and defence ratings
Pisa
Cremonese
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pisa vs Cremonese: result vs prediction
Pisa 3 – 1 Cremonese
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pisa vs Cremonese markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pisa | 42.9% | 2.33 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pisa | 42.9% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Cremonese | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pisa win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 63.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Pisa vs Cremonese stats
Pisa and Cremonese recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pisa and Cremonese going into this match
Pisa record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cremonese record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pisa vs Cremonese head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Cremonese | Pisa | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Pisa | Cremonese | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Pisa | Cremonese | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Cremonese | Pisa | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-01 | Cremonese | Pisa | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Pisa | Cremonese | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Pisa | Cremonese | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-28 | Cremonese | Pisa | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2021-07-24 | Pisa | Cremonese | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-06 | Cremonese | Pisa | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pisa vs Cremonese odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 28.9%, away 27.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.17 | 3.89 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.90 | 2.96 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .