Verona
vs
Catanzaro
2 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Antonio Candela | ||
| 37′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 41′ | Dailon Livramento | ||
| 45′ | Nicola MostiFranky Tchaouna | ||
| 62′ | Samuel GiovaneGabriele Alesi | ||
| 63′ | Dailon LivramentoM. Akalé | ||
| 67′ | Daniel Mosquera | ||
| 71′ | Federico Di FrancescoSimone Pafundi | ||
| 71′ | Pietro LemmelloG. Arditi | ||
| 72′ | Amin SarrMartin Frese | ||
| 75′ | Emanuele Pecorino | ||
| 76′ | Gabriele Alesi | ||
| 78′ | andrea le borgneAbdou Harroui | ||
| 78′ | Nicolo CalabreseTobias Slotsager | ||
| 78′ | Davide De BattistiSalvatore Cerbone | ||
| 86′ | Emanuele PecorinoN'Dri Koffi | ||
| 90′ | Marco Imperiale |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 445 | Accurate passes | 338 |
Verona vs Catanzaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verona vs Catanzaro
| Probability | Verona | Draw | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Market | 54.2% | 24.6% | 21.1% |
| Final | 55.1% | 23.9% | 21.0% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
Why Verona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verona and Catanzaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Verona and Catanzaro attack and defence ratings
Verona
Catanzaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verona vs Catanzaro: result vs prediction
Verona 2 – 2 Catanzaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Verona vs Catanzaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 55.1% | 1.81 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 55.1% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Catanzaro | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% |
| No | 34.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verona win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Verona vs Catanzaro stats
Verona and Catanzaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verona and Catanzaro going into this match
Verona record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Catanzaro record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verona vs Catanzaro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-14 | Verona | Catanzaro | Coppa Italia | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Verona vs Catanzaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.2%, draw 25.3%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.93 | 4.86 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .