Virtus Entella
vs
Juve Stabia
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Niccolo Squizzato | ||
| 27′ | Leonardo Benedetti | ||
| 32′ | Marco Bellich | ||
| 47′ | Antonio Di Nardo | ||
| 53′ | Niccolo SquizzatoLucas Felippe | ||
| 54′ | Leonardo BenedettiFrancesco Mezzoni | ||
| 65′ | Luca VignaliGiacomo Corona | ||
| 66′ | Fabio MaistroKevin Piscopo | ||
| 67′ | Giusepe SibilliSana Fernandes | ||
| 73′ | Antonio Di NardoLeonardo Candellone | ||
| 81′ | Christian PierobonManuel Ricciardi | ||
| 81′ | Davide BuglioThomas Battistella | ||
| 82′ | Stefano Di MarioMarwane Kritta | ||
| 82′ | Luigi CupponeM Tirelli | ||
| 90′ | Justin Kumi | ||
| 90′ | Giacomo Corona |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 323 | Accurate passes | 306 |
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
| Probability | Virtus Entella | Draw | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 25.8% | 16.9% |
| Market | 44.8% | 30.2% | 25.0% |
| Final | 47.9% | 29.1% | 23.0% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
Why Virtus Entella
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.84.
- The market prices Virtus Entella below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia attack and defence ratings
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia: result vs prediction
Virtus Entella 1 – 1 Juve Stabia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 47.9% | 2.09 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 47.9% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Juve Stabia | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Virtus Entella win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia stats
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia recent form
| Virtus Entella |
DWDLLD |
| Juve Stabia |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia going into this match
Virtus Entella record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Juve Stabia record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Italy Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Virtus Entella | Juve Stabia | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-10 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2019-12-01 | Virtus Entella | Juve Stabia | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-18 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 30.2%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 2.97 | 3.89 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 2.97 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 2.95 | 4.40 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 2.92 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .