Virtus Entella
vs
Juve Stabia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Virtus Entella
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
| Probability | Virtus Entella | Draw | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 25.9% | 17.0% |
| Market | 45.5% | 29.7% | 24.8% |
| Final | 48.4% | 28.8% | 22.8% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -3.9% | -7.8% |
Why Virtus Entella
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.84.
- The market prices Virtus Entella below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia match preview
Virtus Entella is favored to win against Juve Stabia with a 57% probability, while a draw is estimated at 26% and Juve Stabia at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 12%. The expected goals for Virtus Entella stand at 1.72, compared to Juve Stabia's 0.84, indicating a stronger offensive performance from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Virtus Entella has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Juve Stabia has two draws, one win, and two losses. Historically, in their last two encounters, Virtus Entella has not secured a victory, with one draw and one win for Juve Stabia. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia attack and defence ratings
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 48.4% | 2.07 | +11.7% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 48.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Juve Stabia | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Virtus Entella win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.4% |
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia stats
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia recent form
| Virtus Entella |
DWDLLD |
| Juve Stabia |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia season so far
Virtus Entella record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Juve Stabia record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Italy Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Virtus Entella | Juve Stabia | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-10 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2019-12-01 | Virtus Entella | Juve Stabia | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-18 | Juve Stabia | Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 29.7%, away 24.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 2.95 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.15 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 2.95 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 2.97 | 4.10 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 2.94 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .