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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 4

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia

1 – 1 Full time

49′Giuseppe Cuomo
52′Tommaso Corazza
64′Davide BuglioFederico Artioli
64′Leonardo CandelloneGiusepe Sibilli
69′Mattia ValotiGiulio Pellizzari
69′Giuseppe CuomoAndrea Papetti
69′L. CaferriAlessandro Pietrelli
73′Nicola PataneFabio Maistro
73′Nermin KarićThomas Battistella
76′Tommaso Corazza
78′Antonio Di Nardo
82′Claudio MorraFilippo Alessio
87′Christian PierobonKevin Piscopo
87′Loris ZontaAlessandro Bellemo

Stadio Romeo Menti, VicenzaReferee: Rosario Abisso, Italy

Vicenza Virtus 48%
Draw 28%
Juve Stabia 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
42 Possession % 58
8 Corners 5
20 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
6 Saves 1
234 Accurate passes 371

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVicenza VirtusDrawJuve Stabia
Model52.4%24.6%23.0%
Market46.0%29.0%25.0%
Final47.6%27.9%24.5%
Edge+6.4%-4.3%-2.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Vicenza Virtus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Vicenza Virtus below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vicenza Virtus ↓ / Juve Stabia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia expected goals

Vicenza Virtus 1.88
Juve Stabia 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.06

Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia attack and defence ratings

Vicenza Virtus

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Juve Stabia

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia: result vs prediction

Vicenza Virtus 1 – 1 Juve Stabia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vicenza Virtus 47.6% 2.10 +6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.6% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vicenza Virtus47.6%
Draw27.9%
Juve Stabia24.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.5%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)52.4%
Handicap -1Vicenza Virtus win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss47.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.8%
2-08.2%

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia stats

Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia recent form

newest first
Vicenza Virtus DLWDLW
Juve Stabia LWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 29.3%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 3.15 3.60
1xBet 2.03 3.24 3.75
Bet365 2.10 3.10 3.75
BetVictor 2.00 3.30 3.40
Betano 2.12 3.05 3.95
Betfair 1.95 3.20 4.00
Dafabet 2.07 3.15 4.00
Marathonbet 2.01 3.24 3.75
Pinnacle 2.10 3.27 3.96
SBO 2.04 3.15 3.31
William Hill 2.05 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▼ -0.02
X 3.24 ▲ +0.12
2 3.75 ▲ +0.01

10 snapshots recorded, from .