Cesena
vs
Cremonese
2 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Cristian Shpendi | ||
| 39′ | Antonio Fiori | ||
| 45′ | Mihajlo Ilic | ||
| 58′ | Jari VandeputteSalvatore Elia | ||
| 59′ | Tommaso BertiMorten Thorsby | ||
| 59′ | Alessandro VogliaccoMichele Collocolo | ||
| 59′ | Cristian Shpendi | ||
| 61′ | X. DruiventakGianluca Frabotta | ||
| 66′ | Yuri RocchettiFederico Baschirotto | ||
| 70′ | Simone PontissoManuel De Luca | ||
| 70′ | Massimiliano MangravitiMarco Dalla Vecchia | ||
| 70′ | Antonio FioriLuca D'Andrea | ||
| 75′ | Michele Collocolo | ||
| 77′ | Jacopo Gelli | ||
| 80′ | Federico Bonazzoli | ||
| 80′ | Gianluca Frabotta | ||
| 87′ | Matteo GuidiAlessandro Debenedetti | ||
| 90′ | Federico Bonazzoli |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 294 | Accurate passes | 477 |
Cesena vs Cremonese overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cesena vs Cremonese
| Probability | Cesena | Draw | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 29.4% | 34.8% |
| Market | 30.6% | 29.4% | 40.0% |
| Final | 31.9% | 29.4% | 38.7% |
| Edge | +5.2% | -0.0% | -5.2% |
Why Cremonese
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cesena and Cremonese expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Cesena and Cremonese attack and defence ratings
Cesena
Cremonese
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cesena vs Cremonese: result vs prediction
Cesena 2 – 2 Cremonese
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cesena vs Cremonese markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 38.7% | 2.59 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cesena | 31.9% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Cremonese | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Cesena vs Cremonese stats
Cesena vs Cremonese head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Cremonese | Cesena | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Cesena | Cremonese | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-18 | Cesena | Cremonese | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2017-12-28 | Cremonese | Cesena | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cesena vs Cremonese odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.4%, draw 29.4%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 3.22 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.15 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12 | 3.33 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .