Cesena
vs
Mantova
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Rachid Kouda | ||
| 31′ | F. Ruocco | ||
| 46′ | A. DavidG. Frabotta | ||
| 46′ | V. VlahovicE. Gliozzi | ||
| 55′ | X. DruiventakL. D'Andrea | ||
| 58′ | L. IgnacchitiD. Wieser | ||
| 58′ | R. IlieD. Bragantini | ||
| 68′ | M. Dalla VecchiaA. Debenedetti | ||
| 76′ | R. KoudaT. Del Lungo | ||
| 76′ | A. CastelliniF. Paoletti | ||
| 77′ | C. Shpendi | ||
| 80′ | M. IlicM. Mangraviti | ||
| 80′ | A. FioriM. Guidi |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 551 | Accurate passes | 239 |
Cesena vs Mantova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cesena vs Mantova
| Probability | Cesena | Draw | Mantova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 24.9% | 41.8% |
| Market | 37.4% | 29.1% | 33.5% |
| Final | 36.4% | 28.0% | 35.6% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -4.2% | +8.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cesena and Mantova expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.31
Cesena and Mantova attack and defence ratings
Cesena
Mantova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cesena vs Mantova: result vs prediction
Cesena 1 – 1 Mantova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cesena vs Mantova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cesena | 36.4% | 2.75 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cesena | 36.4% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Mantova | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cesena win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Cesena vs Mantova stats
Cesena vs Mantova head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Mantova | Cesena | Italy Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Cesena | Mantova | Italy Serie B | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Mantova | Cesena | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-01 | Mantova | Cesena | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Cesena | Mantova | Serie B | 4-2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Mantova | Cesena | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-13 | Cesena | Mantova | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-08 | Cesena | Mantova | Serie C - Girone A | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-03 | Cesena | Mantova | Serie C - Girone B | 0-0 |
| 2020-12-13 | Mantova | Cesena | Serie C - Girone B | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cesena vs Mantova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 29.1%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.24 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .