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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 2

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

1 – 2 Full time

Stadio Comunale di Chiavari, ChiavariReferee: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy

Virtus Entella 54%
Draw 28%
Cesena 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Virtus Entella vs Cesena overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Virtus Entella vs Cesena

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVirtus EntellaDrawCesena
Model54.2%27.7%18.1%
Market———
Final54.2%27.7%18.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Virtus Entella

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Virtus Entella ↓ / Cesena → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Virtus Entella and Cesena expected goals

Virtus Entella 1.57
Cesena 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.38

Virtus Entella and Cesena attack and defence ratings

Virtus Entella

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Cesena

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Virtus Entella vs Cesena: result vs prediction

Virtus Entella 1 – 2 Cesena

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Virtus Entella vs Cesena markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Virtus Entella 54.2% 1.84 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 54.8% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.9% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.0% 2.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Virtus Entella54.2%
Draw27.7%
Cesena18.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.2%
No54.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.9%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1Virtus Entella win29.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss46.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.3%
1-112.9%
2-011.4%

Virtus Entella vs Cesena stats

Virtus Entella and Cesena recent form

newest first
Virtus Entella LDWLWD
Cesena DLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Virtus Entella vs Cesena head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Virtus Entella wins 3Draws 4Cesena wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-10Virtus EntellaCesenaItaly Serie B3-1
2025-08-30CesenaVirtus EntellaItaly Serie B1-1
2024-03-01CesenaVirtus EntellaSerie C - Girone B4-0
2023-11-16Virtus EntellaCesenaSerie C - Girone B0-1
2023-08-06CesenaVirtus EntellaCoppa Italia2-2
2023-03-14CesenaVirtus EntellaSerie C - Girone B4-0
2022-11-14Virtus EntellaCesenaSerie C - Girone B0-0
2022-04-03CesenaVirtus EntellaSerie C - Girone B1-0
2021-11-28Virtus EntellaCesenaSerie C - Girone B3-1
2021-09-15CesenaVirtus EntellaCoppa Italia Serie C1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Virtus Entella vs Cesena odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.