Cesena
vs
Sampdoria
1 – 1 Full time
Cesena vs Sampdoria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cesena vs Sampdoria
| Probability | Cesena | Draw | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.6% | 34.9% | 27.6% |
| Market | 36.9% | 29.4% | 33.7% |
| Final | 37.0% | 30.8% | 32.2% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +5.4% | -6.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cesena and Sampdoria expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
Cesena and Sampdoria attack and defence ratings
Cesena
Sampdoria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cesena vs Sampdoria: result vs prediction
Cesena 1 – 1 Sampdoria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cesena vs Sampdoria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cesena | 37.0% | 2.70 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cesena | 37.0% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Sampdoria | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.3% |
| No | 62.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cesena win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.1% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Cesena vs Sampdoria stats
Cesena vs Sampdoria head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Cesena | Sampdoria | Italy Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Sampdoria | Cesena | Italy Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cesena vs Sampdoria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 29.4%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.48 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.15 | 2.78 |
| 888Sport | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.15 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.16 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.44 | 3.05 | 2.68 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .