Carrarese
vs
Mantova
1 – 2 Full time
Carrarese vs Mantova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrarese vs Mantova
| Probability | Carrarese | Draw | Mantova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 28.9% | 36.6% |
| Market | 39.6% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
| Final | 38.3% | 29.2% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -5.1% | -0.4% | +5.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrarese and Mantova expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Carrarese and Mantova attack and defence ratings
Carrarese
Mantova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrarese vs Mantova: result vs prediction
Carrarese 1 – 2 Mantova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrarese vs Mantova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrarese | 38.3% | 2.61 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrarese | 38.3% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Mantova | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrarese win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 65.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Carrarese vs Mantova stats
Carrarese vs Mantova head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Mantova | Carrarese | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Carrarese | Mantova | Italy Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrarese vs Mantova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 29.2%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.18 | 2.96 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.12 | 2.94 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.09 | 2.96 |
| Superbet | 2.37 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.33 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .