Italy Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 1
Verona
vs
Ascoli
1 – 2 Full time
Verona
50%
Draw
26%
Ascoli
23%
Verona vs Ascoli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verona vs Ascoli
| Probability | Verona | Draw | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 25.7% | 38.5% |
| Market | 54.9% | 26.7% | 18.4% |
| Final | 50.1% | 26.4% | 23.4% |
| Edge | -19.1% | -1.0% | +20.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Verona and Ascoli expected goals
Verona
1.55
Ascoli
1.61
Total expected goals: 3.16
Verona and Ascoli attack and defence ratings
Verona
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Ascoli
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verona vs Ascoli: result vs prediction
Verona 1 – 2 Ascoli
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Verona vs Ascoli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 50.1% | 1.99 | -19.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verona | 50.1% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Ascoli | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verona win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Verona vs Ascoli stats
Verona vs Ascoli head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Verona vs Ascoli odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 26.3%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.50 | 5.09 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.85 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.52 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.47 | 5.52 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.44 |
| Superbet | 1.71 | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.71 ▲ +0.08
X
3.51 ▼ -0.14
2
5.09 ▼ -0.25
4 snapshots recorded, from .