Pisa vs Padova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pisa vs Padova
| Probability | Pisa | Draw | Padova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 31.2% | 28.5% |
| Market | 54.4% | 26.5% | 19.1% |
| Final | 50.9% | 27.7% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -14.1% | +4.7% | +9.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Pisa and Padova expected goals
Pisa
1.24
Padova
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.24
Pisa and Padova attack and defence ratings
Pisa
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Padova
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pisa vs Padova: result vs prediction
Pisa 0 – 1 Padova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pisa vs Padova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pisa | 50.9% | 1.97 | -14.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pisa | 50.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Padova | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pisa win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.9% |
Pisa vs Padova stats
Pisa vs Padova head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pisa vs Padova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 26.6%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.55 | 4.80 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.55 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.55 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.61 | 5.14 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.36 | 4.54 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.73 ▼ -0.04
X
3.55 ▲ +0.14
2
4.92 ▲ +0.30
4 snapshots recorded, from .