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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 2

Pisa vs Catanzaro

2 – 1 Full time

9′Marco D'AlessandroMehdi Dorval
22′Pietro Lemmello
28′Simone Canestrelli
30′Giuseppe Leone
39′Simone Zanon
45′Antonio CandelaFranky Tchaouna
65′Simone ZanonDaniel Denoon
65′Mehdi LérisGabriele Piccinini
68′Marco RuggeroRuggero Frosinini
72′Rosen BozhinovAntonio Caracciolo
79′Giuseppe LeoneIsak Vural
79′Matteo TramoniEmanuele Rao
79′Nicola MostiFederico Di Francesco
79′Gabriele AlesiEmanuele Pecorino
80′Arturo Calabresi
84′Isak Vural
87′Jacopo Petriccione
90′Matias Antonini Lui

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, PisaReferee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy

Pisa 46%
Draw 28%
Catanzaro 26%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 7
45 Possession % 55
6 Corners 8
15 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
6 Saves 6
305 Accurate passes 401

Pisa vs Catanzaro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pisa vs Catanzaro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPisaDrawCatanzaro
Model34.4%27.3%38.3%
Market49.9%28.3%21.8%
Final46.0%28.1%25.9%
Edge-15.5%-1.0%+16.5%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pisa ↓ / Catanzaro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Pisa and Catanzaro expected goals

Pisa 1.38
Catanzaro 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.86

Pisa and Catanzaro attack and defence ratings

Pisa

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Catanzaro

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pisa vs Catanzaro: result vs prediction

Pisa 2 – 1 Catanzaro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Pisa vs Catanzaro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pisa 46.0% 2.17 -15.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.5% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.0% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.9% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pisa46.0%
Draw28.1%
Catanzaro25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.5%
Under 2.545.5%
Both teams to scoreYes59.0%
No41.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Pisa win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss65.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%

Pisa vs Catanzaro stats

Pisa and Catanzaro recent form

newest first
Pisa LDLLLL
Catanzaro LDWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pisa vs Catanzaro head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Pisa vs Catanzaro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 28.3%, away 21.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.35 4.40
1xBet 1.89 3.34 4.18
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.33
Betano 1.95 3.25 4.40
Dafabet 1.93 3.30 4.40
Marathonbet 1.87 3.34 4.20
Pinnacle 1.92 3.35 4.29
SBO 1.88 2.92 3.62
Unibet 1.84 3.40 4.35
William Hill 1.91 3.10 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▲ +0.05
X 3.32 ▲ +0.02
2 4.31 ▼ -0.10

7 snapshots recorded, from .