Italy Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Avellino
vs
Vicenza Virtus
3 – 0 Full time
Avellino
33%
Draw
29%
Vicenza Virtus
38%
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus
| Probability | Avellino | Draw | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 29.1% | 38.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.6% | 29.1% | 38.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Avellino and Vicenza Virtus expected goals
Avellino
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.56
Avellino and Vicenza Virtus attack and defence ratings
Avellino
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Vicenza Virtus
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus: result vs prediction
Avellino 3 – 0 Vicenza Virtus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vicenza Virtus | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avellino | 32.6% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Vicenza Virtus | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vicenza Virtus win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 9.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus stats
Avellino and Vicenza Virtus recent form
| Avellino |
LLLWLW |
| Vicenza Virtus |
WDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.