Cremonese
vs
Modena
0 – 3 Full time
Cremonese vs Modena overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cremonese vs Modena
| Probability | Cremonese | Draw | Modena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 31.4% | 28.2% |
| Market | 51.0% | 28.4% | 20.6% |
| Final | 48.3% | 29.2% | 22.5% |
| Edge | -10.5% | +3.0% | +7.6% |
Why Cremonese
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cremonese and Modena expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Cremonese and Modena attack and defence ratings
Cremonese
Modena
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cremonese vs Modena: result vs prediction
Cremonese 0 – 3 Modena
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cremonese vs Modena markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 48.3% | 2.07 | -10.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 48.3% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Modena | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.6% |
| No | 54.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-0 | 12.1% |
Cremonese vs Modena stats
Cremonese vs Modena head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | Cremonese | Modena | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-29 | Modena | Cremonese | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-03 | Modena | Cremonese | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Cremonese | Modena | Serie B | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-20 | Cremonese | Modena | Coppa Italia | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cremonese vs Modena odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.0%, draw 28.4%, away 20.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.42 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.25 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.35 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.42 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.43 | 4.95 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 2.94 | 3.74 |
| Superbet | 1.88 | 3.35 | 4.55 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.35 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .