Virtus Entella
vs
Vicenza Virtus
2 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Nicolò Brighenti | ||
| 29′ | Andrea Tiritiello | ||
| 36′ | Mattia Valoti | ||
| 37′ | M. Alborghetti | ||
| 45′ | Andrea Chiappella | ||
| 47′ | Bernat Guiu | ||
| 56′ | Gabriele MonciniNicola Rauti | ||
| 58′ | Francesco ForteLeonardo Benedetti | ||
| 61′ | Filippo CostaTommaso Corazza | ||
| 62′ | Mattia ValotiLoris Zonta | ||
| 73′ | Niccolo SquizzatoLucas Felippe | ||
| 73′ | Bernat GuiuGiacomo Corona | ||
| 75′ | Silvio Merkaj | ||
| 77′ | Marco Carraro | ||
| 79′ | Giulio PellizzariAlessandro Bellemo | ||
| 79′ | L. CaferriAlessandro Pietrelli | ||
| 79′ | M. AlborghettiLuca Vignali | ||
| 79′ | Andrea TiritielloMarwane Kritta | ||
| 84′ | Ivan Marconi | ||
| 86′ | Giacomo Corona |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 257 |
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus
| Probability | Virtus Entella | Draw | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 27.9% | 24.9% |
| Market | 43.6% | 30.6% | 25.8% |
| Final | 44.5% | 29.9% | 25.6% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -2.7% | -0.9% |
Why Virtus Entella
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.06.
- The market prices Virtus Entella below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus attack and defence ratings
Virtus Entella
Vicenza Virtus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus: result vs prediction
Virtus Entella 2 – 2 Vicenza Virtus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 44.5% | 2.25 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virtus Entella | 44.5% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Vicenza Virtus | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Virtus Entella win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus stats
Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus recent form
| Virtus Entella |
LLDWLW |
| Vicenza Virtus |
LWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-15 | Vicenza Virtus | Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia Serie C | 4-1 |
| 2023-01-18 | Virtus Entella | Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia Serie C | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-01 | Virtus Entella | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2020-12-30 | Vicenza Virtus | Virtus Entella | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2017-02-28 | Vicenza Virtus | Virtus Entella | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2016-10-01 | Virtus Entella | Vicenza Virtus | Serie B | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 30.6%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.06 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.06 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.05 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .