Italy Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Sudtirol
vs
Catanzaro
2 – 0 Full time
| 54′ | Jacopo Petriccione | ||
| 58′ | Matias AntoniniA. Candela | ||
| 59′ | A. VasicK. Zeroli | ||
| 60′ | V. LopesR. Burnete | ||
| 71′ | M. DorvalE. Pecorino | ||
| 72′ | B. VerrengiaM. Imperiale | ||
| 77′ | B. BjarkasonS. Davi | ||
| 77′ | A. OkoroK. Mixtur | ||
| 82′ | J. PetriccioneF. Tchaouna | ||
| 83′ | S. GiovaneA. Garnica | ||
| 86′ | R. Burnete | ||
| 87′ | D. VeroliF. Davi | ||
| 89′ | Kenny Mixtur | ||
| 89′ | K. Mixtur |
Sudtirol
36%
Draw
30%
Catanzaro
33%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 312 | Accurate passes | 412 |
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
| Probability | Sudtirol | Draw | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 28.5% | 37.8% |
| Market | 37.2% | 31.0% | 31.7% |
| Final | 36.4% | 30.4% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -3.6% | -2.5% | +6.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Sudtirol and Catanzaro expected goals
Sudtirol
1.28
Catanzaro
1.37
Total expected goals: 2.66
Sudtirol and Catanzaro attack and defence ratings
Sudtirol
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Catanzaro
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro: result vs prediction
Sudtirol 2 – 0 Catanzaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sudtirol | 36.4% | 2.75 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sudtirol | 36.4% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Catanzaro | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sudtirol win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro stats
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
1Sudtirol wins
4Draws
2Catanzaro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Catanzaro | Sudtirol | Coppa Italia | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Sudtirol | Catanzaro | Italy Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Catanzaro | Sudtirol | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-12 | Sudtirol | Catanzaro | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Catanzaro | Sudtirol | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Catanzaro | Sudtirol | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Sudtirol | Catanzaro | Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 31.0%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 2.99 | 3.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.13 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 2.99 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.03 | 3.09 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.88 | 2.90 |