Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 3

Juve Stabia vs Pisa

0 – 3 Full time

15′Kevin Piscopo
41′Rosen BozhinovFrancesco Coppola
42′Arturo Calabresi
45′Andrea PetagnaFilippo Pittarello
51′Arturo Calabresi
55′Davide BuglioFederico Artioli
55′Kevin PiscopoFabio Maistro
56′Leonardo CandelloneAntonio Di Nardo
64′Arturo CalabresiSimone Zanon
64′Giuseppe LeoneTomás Esteves
66′Francesco Coppola
68′Matteo Tramoni
71′Nermin KarićJustin Kumi
75′Isak VuralGabriele Piccinini
78′Nicola PataneGiusepe Sibilli
80′Francesco Coppola
83′Giusepe Sibilli

Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di StabiaReferee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy

Juve Stabia 36%
Draw 31%
Pisa 33%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
62 Possession % 38
4 Corners 3
12 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
411 Accurate passes 238

Juve Stabia vs Pisa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juve Stabia vs Pisa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuve StabiaDrawPisa
Model45.4%29.0%25.6%
Market32.4%31.7%35.9%
Final35.7%31.0%33.3%
Edge+12.9%-2.7%-10.3%

Confidence: Medium

Why Juve Stabia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Juve Stabia below the model: +12.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juve Stabia ↓ / Pisa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 11% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Juve Stabia and Pisa expected goals

Juve Stabia 1.44
Pisa 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.47

Juve Stabia and Pisa attack and defence ratings

Juve Stabia

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Pisa

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juve Stabia vs Pisa: result vs prediction

Juve Stabia 0 – 3 Pisa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Juve Stabia vs Pisa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juve Stabia 35.7% 2.80 +12.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.0% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juve Stabia35.7%
Draw31.0%
Pisa33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to scoreYes50.2%
No49.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Juve Stabia win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-011.0%
0-09.7%

Juve Stabia vs Pisa stats

Juve Stabia and Pisa recent form

newest first
Juve Stabia WLLLDW
Pisa WLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juve Stabia vs Pisa head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Juve Stabia wins 1Draws 3Pisa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-22PisaJuve StabiaSerie B3-1
2024-09-29Juve StabiaPisaSerie B2-0
2020-09-30PisaJuve StabiaCoppa Italia2-0
2020-01-25PisaJuve StabiaSerie B1-1
2019-09-01Juve StabiaPisaSerie B0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juve Stabia vs Pisa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 31.7%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.90 2.92 2.60
Bet365 2.80 2.90 2.55
BetVictor 2.70 3.10 2.50
Marathonbet 2.90 2.92 2.60
Pinnacle 3.03 2.93 2.72
William Hill 2.80 2.90 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.85 ▼ -0.05
X 2.92 —
2 2.58 ▼ -0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .