Udinese
vs
Venezia
2 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | R. Sagrado | ||
| 11′ | Nicolò Bertola | ||
| 34′ | V. Bayo | ||
| 46′ | N. BertolaJ. Abankwah | ||
| 53′ | V. Bayo | ||
| 60′ | K. DavisI. Gueye | ||
| 71′ | T. J. HelgasonL. Fanne | ||
| 72′ | M. VojvodaH. Kamara | ||
| 72′ | U. GomezO. Zarraga | ||
| 72′ | A. GomesR. Haps | ||
| 74′ | A. RrahmaniK. Lisman | ||
| 82′ | M. DagassoS. Panada | ||
| 82′ | L. LauberbachA. Adams | ||
| 85′ | C. KabaseleE. Ebosse |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 239 | Accurate passes | 516 |
Udinese vs Venezia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Udinese vs Venezia
| Probability | Udinese | Draw | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 27.0% | 21.2% |
| Market | 49.6% | 26.9% | 23.5% |
| Final | 50.1% | 26.9% | 23.0% |
| Edge | +2.2% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
Why Udinese
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.98.
- The market prices Udinese below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Udinese and Venezia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Udinese and Venezia attack and defence ratings
Udinese
Venezia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Udinese vs Venezia: result vs prediction
Udinese 2 – 1 Venezia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Udinese vs Venezia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 50.1% | 2.00 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 50.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Venezia | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Udinese win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Udinese vs Venezia stats
Udinese vs Venezia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | Udinese | Venezia | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-30 | Venezia | Udinese | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Venezia | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-27 | Udinese | Venezia | Serie A | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Udinese vs Venezia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.9%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.44 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.44 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.59 | 4.25 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.01 | 3.34 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.55 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .