Udinese
vs
Lazio
1 – 2 Full time
| 13′ | Jakub Piotrowski | ||
| 15′ | J. PiotrowskiL. Miller | ||
| 23′ | Lennon Miller | ||
| 25′ | Gustav Isaksen | ||
| 38′ | O. SoletC. Kabasele | ||
| 45′ | Jesper Karlström | ||
| 46′ | U. GomezV. Bayo | ||
| 49′ | J. Karlstrom | ||
| 53′ | G. IsaksenM. Cancellieri | ||
| 53′ | A. PinamontiT. Noslin | ||
| 67′ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo | ||
| 75′ | D. Frattesi | ||
| 76′ | J. AbankwahN. Bertola | ||
| 76′ | K. DavisO. Zarraga | ||
| 80′ | D. FrattesiA. Gudmundsson | ||
| 84′ | Nicolò Bertola | ||
| 88′ | A. Gudmundsson | ||
| 90′ | M. ZaccagniA. Pedraza |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 292 | Accurate passes | 479 |
Udinese vs Lazio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Udinese vs Lazio
| Probability | Udinese | Draw | Lazio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 30.0% | 25.5% |
| Market | 34.9% | 30.6% | 34.5% |
| Final | 37.3% | 30.5% | 32.3% |
| Edge | +9.5% | -0.6% | -9.0% |
Why Udinese
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.14.
- The market prices Udinese below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Udinese and Lazio expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Udinese and Lazio attack and defence ratings
Udinese
Lazio
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Udinese vs Lazio: result vs prediction
Udinese 1 – 2 Lazio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Udinese vs Lazio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 37.3% | 2.68 | +9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 37.3% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Lazio | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Udinese win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Udinese vs Lazio stats
Udinese vs Lazio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Lazio | Udinese | Serie A | 3-3 |
| 2025-12-27 | Udinese | Lazio | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-10 | Lazio | Udinese | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Udinese | Lazio | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Lazio | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-07 | Udinese | Lazio | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-21 | Udinese | Lazio | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Lazio | Udinese | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Udinese | Lazio | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-18 | Lazio | Udinese | Coppa Italia | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Udinese vs Lazio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 30.6%, away 34.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.05 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.19 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.14 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78 | 3.14 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.68 | 2.93 | 2.74 |
| Superbet | 2.72 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| unibet_fr | 2.30 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .