Inter
vs
Udinese
5 – 3 Full time
| 9′ | J. Abankwah | ||
| 16′ | J. Ekkelenkamp | ||
| 26′ | Carlos Augusto | ||
| 35′ | N. Barella | ||
| 45′ | Keinan Davis | ||
| 57′ | M. Thuram | ||
| 60′ | Henrikh Mkhitaryan | ||
| 61′ | U. GomezI. Gueye | ||
| 62′ | J. StonesB. Pavard | ||
| 62′ | H. MkhitaryanC. Jones | ||
| 67′ | F. Esposito | ||
| 70′ | A. BastoniF. Dimarco | ||
| 70′ | M. ThuramA. Bonny | ||
| 73′ | L. MillerG. Chakvetadze | ||
| 74′ | M. VojvodaN. Bertola | ||
| 79′ | A. Bonny | ||
| 80′ | J. EkkelenkampS. Lovric | ||
| 80′ | K. DavisV. Bayo | ||
| 82′ | P. ZielinskiA. Stankovic | ||
| 90′ | I. Gueye |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 7 |
| 594 | Accurate passes | 272 |
Inter vs Udinese overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Udinese
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Udinese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 22.6% | 19.5% |
| Market | 79.3% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
| Final | 74.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% |
| Edge | -21.4% | +8.7% | +12.7% |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.34.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Udinese expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Inter and Udinese attack and defence ratings
Inter
Udinese
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inter vs Udinese: result vs prediction
Inter 5 – 3 Udinese
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Udinese markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 74.0% | 1.35 | -21.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 74.0% |
| Draw | 16.1% | |
| Udinese | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% |
| No | 31.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 37.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
Inter vs Udinese stats
Inter vs Udinese head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Udinese | Inter | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Inter | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Inter | Udinese | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-19 | Inter | Udinese | Coppa Italia | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Udinese | Inter | Serie A | 2-3 |
| 2024-04-08 | Udinese | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Inter | Udinese | Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Inter | Udinese | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Udinese | Inter | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Udinese | Inter | Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter vs Udinese odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.1%, draw 15.2%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.26 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 6.85 | 13.20 |
| 888Sport | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 6.90 | 14.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.28 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 6.75 | 13.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 7.23 | 14.73 |
| SBO | 1.22 | 5.32 | 8.49 |
| Unibet | 1.25 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| winamax_fr | 1.30 | 5.20 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .