Genoa
vs
Frosinone
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | G. Kvernadze | ||
| 16′ | G. Cittadini | ||
| 46′ | T. BaldanziJunior Messias | ||
| 46′ | G. CittadiniI. Monterisi | ||
| 49′ | K. Ehizibue | ||
| 50′ | J. Vasquez | ||
| 60′ | K. EhizibueS. El Shaarawy | ||
| 62′ | G. Bracaglia | ||
| 67′ | J. Vasquez | ||
| 70′ | L. ColomboVitinha | ||
| 71′ | R. SchmidL. Hasa | ||
| 73′ | F. GhedjemisS. Fini | ||
| 73′ | A. RaimondoT. Bobcek | ||
| 79′ | D. SowAmorim | ||
| 80′ | M. E. EllertssonF. Meichtry | ||
| 87′ | J. Vasquez | ||
| 87′ | J. Vasquez | ||
| 87′ | G. KvernadzeA. Zerbin |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 27 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 176 | Accurate passes | 277 |
Genoa vs Frosinone overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Genoa vs Frosinone
| Probability | Genoa | Draw | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.7% | 22.0% | 65.2% |
| Market | 42.9% | 28.8% | 28.3% |
| Final | 35.3% | 27.1% | 37.5% |
| Edge | -30.1% | -6.8% | +36.9% |
Why Frosinone
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Frosinone below the model: +36.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Genoa and Frosinone expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Genoa and Frosinone attack and defence ratings
Genoa
Frosinone
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Genoa vs Frosinone: result vs prediction
Genoa 1 – 1 Frosinone
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Genoa vs Frosinone markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 37.5% | 2.66 | +36.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Frosinone win | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genoa | 35.3% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Frosinone | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Frosinone win | 43.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 34.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 0-2 | 10.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.8% |
Genoa vs Frosinone stats
Genoa vs Frosinone head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-30 | Genoa | Frosinone | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Frosinone | Genoa | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Frosinone | Genoa | Serie B | 3-2 |
| 2022-12-18 | Genoa | Frosinone | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-03 | Genoa | Frosinone | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2018-09-30 | Frosinone | Genoa | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2016-04-03 | Genoa | Frosinone | Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2015-11-08 | Frosinone | Genoa | Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Genoa vs Frosinone odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 28.5%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.76 | 3.45 | 4.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.46 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.38 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.36 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.13 | 2.98 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| winamax_fr | 1.54 | 3.30 | 4.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .