Como
vs
Parma Calcio 1913
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | J. Ramon | ||
| 55′ | A. DiaoJ. Rodriguez | ||
| 55′ | M. BaturinaM. Caqueret | ||
| 55′ | E. B. ToureM. Frigan | ||
| 64′ | M. KeanA. Douvikas | ||
| 64′ | V. SierroA. Bernabe | ||
| 64′ | N. ElphegeD. Romero | ||
| 76′ | Maxence Caqueret | ||
| 80′ | L. Da CunhaL. Milla | ||
| 80′ | N. PazS. Ricci | ||
| 80′ | S. BritschgiP. Almqvist | ||
| 80′ | S. LontaniG. Fabbian | ||
| 83′ | Kaiki | ||
| 90′ | D. Romero |
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 4 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 584 | Accurate passes | 295 |
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Como vs Parma Calcio 1913
| Probability | Como | Draw | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.5% | 18.5% | 8.0% |
| Market | 77.9% | 15.2% | 6.9% |
| Final | 76.8% | 16.0% | 7.2% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +3.3% | +1.0% |
Why Como
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Como and Parma Calcio 1913 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Como and Parma Calcio 1913 attack and defence ratings
Como
Parma Calcio 1913
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913: result vs prediction
Como 2 – 1 Parma Calcio 1913
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 76.8% | 1.30 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 76.8% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 7.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 52.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 26.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 3-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913 stats
Como and Parma Calcio 1913 recent form
| Como |
WWWDWW |
| Parma Calcio 1913 |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Como | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Como | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Como | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-20 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Como | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-06 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como | Serie B | 4-3 |
| 2021-11-28 | Como | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Como vs Parma Calcio 1913 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.0%, draw 15.7%, away 7.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.26 | 5.20 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 6.49 | 14.20 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 6.10 | 14.50 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.20 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 6.25 | 13.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.65 | 13.69 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.32 | 9.45 |
| Unibet | 1.25 | 5.40 | 11.50 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.80 | 12.00 |
| unibet_fr | 1.19 | 5.20 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
31 snapshots recorded, from .