Como
vs
RasenBallsport Leipzig
4 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Willi Orbán | ||
| 15′ | Martin Baturina | ||
| 24′ | Christopher Nkunku | ||
| 38′ | Anastasios Douvikas | ||
| 47′ | Nico Paz | ||
| 54′ | Assane Diao Diaoune | ||
| 58′ | Andrija Maksimović | ||
| 60′ | Nicolas SeiwaldTidiam Gomis | ||
| 60′ | Marc GuiuAssan Ouedraogo | ||
| 60′ | Christopher NkunkuEzechiel Banzuzi | ||
| 64′ | Ezechiel Banzuzi | ||
| 65′ | Anastasios DouvikasMoise Kean | ||
| 65′ | Lucas Da CunhaMaximo Perrone | ||
| 66′ | Martin BaturinaMarc-Oliver Kempf | ||
| 70′ | Andrija MaksimovićBrajan Gruda | ||
| 74′ | Yan CoutoIvan Smolcic | ||
| 86′ | Assane Diao DiaouneSamuele Ricci | ||
| 88′ | Ridle BakuBenjamin Henrichs | ||
| 90′ | Maximo Perrone | ||
| 90′ | Maximo Perrone |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 467 | Accurate passes | 444 |
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Probability | Como | Draw | RasenBallsport Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 23.1% | 28.9% |
| Market | 54.2% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| Final | 52.7% | 23.3% | 24.0% |
| Edge | -6.2% | -0.3% | +6.5% |
Why Como
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Como and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.61
Como and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings
Como
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction
Como 4 – 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
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- Lille vs Real Betis
- Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — match page
- FC Porto vs Manchester City — team news & stats
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- VfB Stuttgart v Viking — match page
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 52.7% | 1.90 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 52.7% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats
Como and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form
| WWDWWW | |
| LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 23.8%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.78 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 4.22 | 4.32 |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 4.15 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 4.15 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.07 | 4.35 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.52 | 3.55 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .