Sassuolo
vs
Juventus
3 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Jhon Lucumí | ||
| 46′ | J. LucumiL. Kelly | ||
| 48′ | Luca Lipani | ||
| 55′ | L. LipaniD. Bakola | ||
| 60′ | N. GonzalezN. Woltemade | ||
| 60′ | F. ConceicaoE. Zhegrova | ||
| 65′ | S. Esposito | ||
| 71′ | K. ThorstvedtV. Adzic | ||
| 71′ | S. EspositoB. Dominguez | ||
| 71′ | D. BerardiK. Bowie | ||
| 71′ | T. KoopmeinersP. M. Sarr | ||
| 76′ | Douglas Luiz | ||
| 81′ | J. IdzesD. Caleta-Car | ||
| 82′ | E. Zhegrova | ||
| 87′ | K. AlajbegovicJ. Oboavwoduo | ||
| 89′ | K. Bowie | ||
| 90′ | Fedde Leysen | ||
| 90′ | E. Zhegrova | ||
| 90′ | V. Adzic |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 340 | Accurate passes | 418 |
Sassuolo vs Juventus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sassuolo vs Juventus
| Probability | Sassuolo | Draw | Juventus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.4% | 25.0% | 57.7% |
| Market | 18.0% | 23.8% | 58.2% |
| Final | 17.8% | 24.1% | 58.0% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.5% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sassuolo and Juventus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Sassuolo and Juventus attack and defence ratings
Sassuolo
Juventus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sassuolo vs Juventus: result vs prediction
Sassuolo 3 – 2 Juventus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sassuolo vs Juventus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 58.0% | 1.72 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 17.8% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Juventus | 58.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.3% |
Sassuolo vs Juventus stats
Sassuolo vs Juventus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-06 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Serie A | 0-3 |
| 2024-01-16 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Serie A | 4-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-15 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2022-04-25 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-10 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Coppa Italia | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-27 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-12 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Serie A | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sassuolo vs Juventus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.3%, draw 23.8%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.00 | 3.85 | 1.55 |
| 1xBet | 5.59 | 4.16 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 5.30 | 4.15 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.00 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 5.63 | 4.05 | 1.64 |
| SBO | 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.64 |
| Unibet | 5.60 | 3.90 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| unibet_fr | 5.30 | 3.70 | 1.49 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
29 snapshots recorded, from .