Juventus
vs
NEC Nijmegen
5 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Nicolás Iván Gonzalez | ||
| 24′ | Kerim Alajbegovic | ||
| 32′ | Clement BischoffDennis Geiger | ||
| 35′ | Nick Woltemade | ||
| 45′ | Almugera KabarJamiro Monteiro | ||
| 52′ | Jamiro Monteiro | ||
| 53′ | Douglas Luiz Soares | ||
| 60′ | Weston McKennieGleison Bremer | ||
| 61′ | Douglas Luiz SoaresTeun Koopmeiners | ||
| 61′ | Nicolás Iván GonzalezFrancisco Conceicao | ||
| 67′ | Philippe SandlerPerr Schuurs | ||
| 71′ | Kerim AlajbegovicRandal Kolo Muani | ||
| 75′ | Zeki Çelik | ||
| 78′ | Noe LebretonKevin Kers | ||
| 79′ | Bryan LinssenBram Nuytinck | ||
| 82′ | Randal Kolo Muani | ||
| 83′ | Nick WoltemadeAugusto Owusu |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 446 | Accurate passes | 495 |
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen
| Probability | Juventus | Draw | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.3% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
| Market | 82.0% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Final | 81.8% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juventus and NEC Nijmegen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Juventus and NEC Nijmegen attack and defence ratings
Juventus
NEC Nijmegen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen: result vs prediction
Juventus 5 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 81.8% | 1.22 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 81.8% |
| Draw | 12.3% | |
| NEC Nijmegen | 6.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 62.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 18.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 3-0 | 11.2% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen stats
Juventus and NEC Nijmegen recent form
| Juventus |
LDWWDL |
| NEC Nijmegen |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.0%, draw 12.0%, away 6.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 8.25 | 16.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.19 | 7.80 | 18.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 8.10 | 16.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 8.36 | 15.84 |
| SBO | 1.16 | 7.14 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .