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Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 6

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen

3 – 0 Full time

21′Ilyes Hamache
32′Devid Eugene Bouah
35′Tobias Storm
37′Philippe Sandler
45′Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz OrtegaNikolas Polster
54′Ilyes Hamache
58′Adam TahauiEmre Mor
58′Dennis GeigerJamiro Monteiro
58′Philippe SandlerBryan Linssen
64′Mathieu MaertensJamal Amofa
71′Nicolas BinderSami Bouhoudane
72′Fabian KvamIwan Henstra
73′Emre MorKevin Kers
84′Ilyes HamacheSkye Vink
84′Devid Eugene BouahWiebe Kooistra
87′Noe Lebreton
90′Iwan Henstra
90′Almugera Kabar
90′Iwan Henstra

Kooi Stadion, LeeuwardenReferee: I. Oostrom

Cambuur 24%
Draw 21%
NEC Nijmegen 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
37 Possession % 63
4 Corners 5
16 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 4
172 Accurate passes 336

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambuurDrawNEC Nijmegen
Model32.6%22.6%44.7%
Market20.7%20.7%58.7%
Final23.7%21.2%55.2%
Edge+12.0%+2.0%-13.9%

Confidence: Low

Why NEC Nijmegen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.75.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambuur ↓ / NEC Nijmegen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen expected goals

Cambuur 1.75
NEC Nijmegen 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.81

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen attack and defence ratings

Cambuur

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.46 +46%

NEC Nijmegen

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen: result vs prediction

Cambuur 3 – 0 NEC Nijmegen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NEC Nijmegen 55.2% 1.81 -13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambuur23.7%
Draw21.2%
NEC Nijmegen55.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%
Both teams to scoreYes72.8%
No27.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.8%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1NEC Nijmegen win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.8%
1-28.2%
2-27.2%

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen stats

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen recent form

newest first
Cambuur DLLLLW
NEC Nijmegen DLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambuur record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

NEC Nijmegen record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Cambuur wins 3Draws 4NEC Nijmegen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-02-27CambuurNEC NijmegenKNVB Beker1-2
2023-02-11NEC NijmegenCambuurEredivisie0-0
2022-11-04CambuurNEC NijmegenEredivisie0-1
2022-04-03CambuurNEC NijmegenEredivisie1-2
2021-12-16CambuurNEC NijmegenKNVB Beker1-2
2021-11-26NEC NijmegenCambuurEredivisie2-3
2021-01-17NEC NijmegenCambuurEerste Divisie0-0
2020-08-28CambuurNEC NijmegenEerste Divisie2-0
2020-01-31NEC NijmegenCambuurEerste Divisie0-2
2019-11-01CambuurNEC NijmegenEerste Divisie0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 20.5%, away 59.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.20 4.60 1.51
1xBet 4.74 4.63 1.63
888Sport 4.75 4.40 1.53
Bet365 4.50 4.75 1.62
BetVictor 5.25 4.75 1.50
Betano 4.90 4.60 1.65
Betfair 4.60 4.33 1.60
Dafabet 5.20 5.00 1.54
Marathonbet 4.60 4.50 1.58
Pinnacle 4.78 4.66 1.63
SBO 4.34 4.18 1.57
Unibet 5.60 4.70 1.47
William Hill 4.40 4.00 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.60 ▼ -0.90
X 4.60 ▼ -0.40
2 1.62 ▲ +0.15

18 snapshots recorded, from .