Telstar
vs
Cambuur
2 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Nökkvi Þórisson | ||
| 28′ | Rui Mendes | ||
| 28′ | Ismaël Baouf | ||
| 42′ | I. BaoufS. Bouhoudane | ||
| 53′ | R. El Arguioui | ||
| 60′ | R. MendesJ. Seedorf | ||
| 60′ | N. Binder | ||
| 63′ | R. Koeman Jr | ||
| 66′ | J. HardeveldP. Aning | ||
| 66′ | N. RossenH. Kuster | ||
| 68′ | N. BinderM. Maertens | ||
| 68′ | F. KvamJ. Ceka | ||
| 71′ | M. CostarelliR. Mulders | ||
| 72′ | D. BouahL. Jetten | ||
| 78′ | Rik Mulders | ||
| 85′ | Abdelnour Soualhia | ||
| 87′ | T. OwusuN. Shenkman | ||
| 87′ | G. AldersR. Oudsten | ||
| 90′ | Ronald Koeman Jr | ||
| 90′ | Rafik El Arguioui | ||
| 90′ | Sami Bouhoudane | ||
| 90′ | R. Koeman Jr |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 235 | Accurate passes | 369 |
Telstar vs Cambuur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Telstar vs Cambuur
| Probability | Telstar | Draw | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| Market | 58.3% | 21.7% | 20.0% |
| Final | 59.5% | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| Edge | +4.5% | -2.9% | -1.6% |
Why Telstar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.43.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Telstar below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Telstar and Cambuur expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
Telstar and Cambuur attack and defence ratings
Telstar
Cambuur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Telstar vs Cambuur: result vs prediction
Telstar 2 – 2 Cambuur
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Telstar vs Cambuur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telstar | 59.5% | 1.68 | +4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Telstar win | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telstar | 59.5% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Cambuur | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telstar win | 43.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 37.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
Telstar vs Cambuur stats
Telstar vs Cambuur head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Cambuur | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Cambuur | Telstar | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-29 | Telstar | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-23 | Cambuur | Telstar | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-18 | Telstar | Cambuur | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2022-07-16 | Cambuur | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-01 | Cambuur | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-10 | Cambuur | Telstar | Friendlies Clubs | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Telstar vs Cambuur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 21.8%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.61 | 4.30 | 4.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.42 | 4.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.30 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.51 | 4.79 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.84 | 4.07 |
| Superbet | 1.65 | 4.35 | 4.60 |
| Unibet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .