Garuda Lions
Today
Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 5

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

1 – 3 Full time

45′Noé Lebreton
45′Gjivai Zechiël
50′Oussama Targhalline
52′G. Zechiel
55′D. Nejasmic
59′NachoS. van Persie
59′G. DiarraJ. Schaken
61′L. Valente
64′J. Schaken
72′A. KabarG. Bras
72′K. SierhuisD. Geiger
72′C. BischoffA. Thomas
80′B. NuytinckP. Schuurs
80′D. TadicA. Tahaui
80′G. ReadM. Deijl
80′G. ZechielT. van den Elshout
85′O. TarghallineT. Kraaijeveld

Goffertstadion, NijmegenReferee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands

NEC Nijmegen 33%
Draw 24%
Feyenoord 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
63 Possession % 37
1 Corners 1
9 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 4
2 Saves 1
439 Accurate passes 246

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNEC NijmegenDrawFeyenoord
Model30.1%25.4%44.4%
Market33.9%23.9%42.1%
Final33.0%24.3%42.7%
Edge-3.8%+1.5%+2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Feyenoord

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.40.
  • The market prices Feyenoord below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NEC Nijmegen ↓ / Feyenoord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord expected goals

NEC Nijmegen 1.40
Feyenoord 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.14

NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord attack and defence ratings

NEC Nijmegen

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Feyenoord

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: result vs prediction

NEC Nijmegen 1 – 3 Feyenoord

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Feyenoord 42.7% 2.34 +2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NEC Nijmegen33.0%
Draw24.3%
Feyenoord42.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.7%
Under 2.539.3%
Both teams to scoreYes63.2%
No36.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.3%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Feyenoord win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-29.2%
2-17.4%

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord stats

NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord recent form

newest first
NEC Nijmegen WLLWWL
Feyenoord DWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1NEC Nijmegen wins 6Draws 3Feyenoord wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12NEC NijmegenFeyenoordEredivisie1-1
2025-11-23FeyenoordNEC NijmegenEredivisie2-4
2025-03-01FeyenoordNEC NijmegenEredivisie0-0
2024-09-28NEC NijmegenFeyenoordEredivisie1-1
2024-05-12NEC NijmegenFeyenoordEredivisie2-3
2024-04-21FeyenoordNEC NijmegenKNVB Beker1-0
2024-01-14FeyenoordNEC NijmegenEredivisie2-2
2023-02-08FeyenoordNEC NijmegenKNVB Beker4-4
2023-01-25FeyenoordNEC NijmegenEredivisie2-0
2022-10-02NEC NijmegenFeyenoordEredivisie1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 23.6%, away 42.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.78 4.20 2.12
1xBet 2.81 4.00 2.30
Bet365 2.88 3.80 2.25
BetVictor 2.75 4.00 2.20
Betano 2.85 4.10 2.20
Betfair 2.75 4.20 2.15
Dafabet 2.90 4.10 2.23
Marathonbet 2.73 3.88 2.23
Pinnacle 2.82 4.10 2.30
SBO 2.71 3.47 2.03
Superbet 2.87 4.00 2.22
Unibet 2.85 3.90 2.15
William Hill 2.70 3.75 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.78 ▼ -0.12
X 3.94 ▼ -0.01
2 2.24 ▲ +0.14

12 snapshots recorded, from .