Feyenoord
vs
ADO Den Haag
2 – 2 Full time
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
| Probability | Feyenoord | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 23.2% | 20.4% |
| Market | 81.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Final | 75.2% | 14.8% | 9.9% |
| Edge | -25.2% | +11.2% | +14.0% |
Why Feyenoord
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings
Feyenoord
ADO Den Haag
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag: result vs prediction
Feyenoord 2 – 2 ADO Den Haag
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 75.2% | 1.33 | -25.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 75.2% |
| Draw | 14.8% | |
| ADO Den Haag | 9.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Feyenoord win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.5% |
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag stats
Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag recent form
| Feyenoord |
WDWWDW |
| ADO Den Haag |
LLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag going into this match
ADO Den Haag record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.5%, draw 12.0%, away 6.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 9.05 | 16.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 7.30 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.17 | 8.40 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 8.10 | 15.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.18 | 14.08 |
| SBO | 1.14 | 6.38 | 9.45 |
| Unibet | 1.15 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .