Cambuur
vs
Feyenoord
2 – 5 Full time
Cambuur vs Feyenoord overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambuur vs Feyenoord
| Probability | Cambuur | Draw | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.9% | 26.5% | 50.6% |
| Market | 10.0% | 15.9% | 74.1% |
| Final | 13.2% | 18.6% | 68.2% |
| Edge | +12.9% | +10.5% | -23.4% |
Why Feyenoord
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambuur and Feyenoord expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Cambuur and Feyenoord attack and defence ratings
Cambuur
Feyenoord
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cambuur vs Feyenoord: result vs prediction
Cambuur 2 – 5 Feyenoord
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambuur vs Feyenoord markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feyenoord | 68.2% | 1.47 | -23.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambuur | 13.2% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Feyenoord | 68.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% |
| No | 45.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Feyenoord win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.6% |
Cambuur vs Feyenoord stats
Cambuur vs Feyenoord head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cambuur vs Feyenoord odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.0%, draw 15.9%, away 74.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.45 | 6.05 | 1.30 |
| 888Sport | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 10.25 | 6.10 | 1.31 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 9.40 | 6.20 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 9.00 | 5.75 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 8.79 | 6.05 | 1.31 |
| SBO | 7.62 | 5.51 | 1.27 |
| Superbet | 8.70 | 5.90 | 1.29 |
| Unibet | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.26 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .