Garuda Lions
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Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 3

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag

3 – 1 Full time

De Adelaarshorst, DeventerReferee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands

GO Ahead Eagles 52%
Draw 24%
ADO Den Haag 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGO Ahead EaglesDrawADO Den Haag
Model41.0%24.9%34.1%
Market55.1%23.4%21.5%
Final51.6%23.8%24.7%
Edge-14.0%+1.5%+12.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GO Ahead Eagle ↓ / ADO Den Haag → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag expected goals

GO Ahead Eagles 1.74
ADO Den Haag 1.57

Total expected goals: 3.30

GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.96 -4%

ADO Den Haag

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag: result vs prediction

GO Ahead Eagles 3 – 1 ADO Den Haag

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GO Ahead Eagles 51.6% 1.94 -14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GO Ahead Eagles51.6%
Draw23.8%
ADO Den Haag24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)48.4%
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag stats

GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag recent form

newest first
GO Ahead Eagles DWLLDD
ADO Den Haag LLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GO Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag going into this match

league record before kick-off

ADO Den Haag record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.4%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.73 4.17 4.46
888Sport 1.70 3.80 4.20
Bet365 1.70 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.67 4.20 4.33
Betano 1.78 4.15 4.55
Betfair 1.70 4.00 4.33
Dafabet 1.77 4.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.68 4.05 4.33
Pinnacle 1.72 4.20 4.58
SBO 1.69 3.84 3.94
Superbet 1.76 4.00 4.35
Unibet 1.68 3.95 4.40
William Hill 1.70 3.80 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.03
X 4.00 —
2 4.35 ▲ +0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .