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Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 3

Twente vs Telstar

1 – 0 Full time

23′Younes Taha El Idrissi
46′Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
55′Marvin Peersman
61′N. ThorissonJ. Seedorf
62′Sem valk
62′D. RotsF. Thorvaldsen
62′T. OwusuN. Shenkman
62′G. AldersR. Oudsten
65′S. Orjasaeter
73′Y. TahaR. Propper
73′A. AdelgaardT. van den Belt
74′J. HardeveldH. Kuster
79′S. OrjasaeterM. Pjaca
82′R. MendesA. Martha

De Grolsch Veste, EnschedeReferee: R. Martens

Twente 73%
Draw 16%
Telstar 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
63 Possession % 37
9 Corners 2
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 7
534 Accurate passes 288

Twente vs Telstar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Twente vs Telstar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTwenteDrawTelstar
Model64.7%18.0%17.2%
Market75.6%14.7%9.7%
Final72.9%15.5%11.6%
Edge-10.9%+3.4%+7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Twente

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 1.42.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Twente ↓ / Telstar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 6% 8% 6% 3 5% 8% 5% 4+ 7% 10% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Twente and Telstar expected goals

Twente 2.74
Telstar 1.42

Total expected goals: 4.15

Twente and Telstar attack and defence ratings

Twente

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Telstar

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Twente vs Telstar: result vs prediction

Twente 1 – 0 Telstar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Twente vs Telstar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Twente 72.9% 1.37 -10.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.3% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Twente win 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Twente72.9%
Draw15.5%
Telstar11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.3%
Under 2.521.7%
Both teams to scoreYes71.4%
No28.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)84.5%
X2 (draw or away)27.1%
Handicap -1Twente win45.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss35.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
3-17.6%
1-16.7%

Twente vs Telstar stats

Twente and Telstar recent form

newest first
Twente DWWLWD
Telstar DLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Twente vs Telstar head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Twente wins 2Draws 0Telstar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15TelstarTwenteEredivisie1-1
2025-11-07TwenteTelstarEredivisie0-0
2023-01-10TwenteTelstarKNVB Beker3-1
2019-04-12TwenteTelstarEerste Divisie1-0
2018-09-21TelstarTwenteEerste Divisie1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Twente vs Telstar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.6%, draw 14.7%, away 9.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.27 6.50 7.90
1xBet 1.25 6.81 10.30
888Sport 1.25 6.00 9.00
Bet365 1.25 6.25 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 7.00 10.50
Betano 1.26 6.60 12.00
Betfair 1.22 6.00 9.50
Dafabet 1.27 6.80 9.60
Marathonbet 1.23 6.35 9.80
Pinnacle 1.25 6.87 10.08
SBO 1.24 5.99 7.72
Superbet 1.26 6.60 8.90
Unibet 1.23 6.40 10.00
William Hill 1.25 6.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▼ -0.05
X 6.45 ▲ +0.95
2 9.70 ▲ +1.20

21 snapshots recorded, from .