Groningen
vs
Twente
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | M. Pjaca | ||
| 8′ | Ramiz Zerrouki | ||
| 18′ | T. van Bergen | ||
| 29′ | T. Land | ||
| 40′ | W. Weghorst | ||
| 55′ | Márk Csinger | ||
| 60′ | M. CsingerE. van der Laan | ||
| 60′ | P. ClementJ. Ondrejka | ||
| 60′ | B. WillumssonO. Zawada | ||
| 61′ | M. PjacaD. Rots | ||
| 75′ | D. WeidmannT. van den Belt | ||
| 75′ | S. OrjasaeterF. Thorvaldsen | ||
| 80′ | T. LandT. Hernes | ||
| 83′ | W. PrinsN. Brandis | ||
| 88′ | Y. TahaL. Vennegoor of Hesselink |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 303 | Accurate passes | 388 |
Groningen vs Twente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Groningen vs Twente
| Probability | Groningen | Draw | Twente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 20.9% | 51.8% |
| Market | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.8% |
| Final | 28.3% | 23.6% | 48.1% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -3.7% | +5.0% |
Why Twente
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.73.
- The market prices Twente below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Groningen and Twente expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.11
Groningen and Twente attack and defence ratings
Groningen
Twente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Groningen vs Twente: result vs prediction
Groningen 2 – 2 Twente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Groningen vs Twente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Twente | 48.1% | 2.08 | +5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Groningen | 28.3% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Twente | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% |
| No | 24.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Twente win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Groningen vs Twente stats
Groningen vs Twente head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Twente | Groningen | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Groningen | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Groningen | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Twente | Groningen | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Groningen | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Twente | Groningen | Eredivisie | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Twente | Groningen | Eredivisie | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-01 | Groningen | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-17 | Groningen | Twente | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2020-09-25 | Twente | Groningen | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Groningen vs Twente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 24.7%, away 46.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.85 | 2.02 |
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.86 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.85 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.75 | 2.01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.95 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 2.88 | 3.26 | 2.02 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.75 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .