Willem II
vs
Excelsior
0 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | D. Garden | ||
| 34′ | R. Meissen | ||
| 46′ | M. LemmensM. Dekker | ||
| 46′ | E. GurbuzT. Vilhena | ||
| 51′ | Kasper Boogaard | ||
| 63′ | K. BoogaardT. Verheydt | ||
| 64′ | A. SlitiI. Silva Timas | ||
| 65′ | E. da Silva MoreiraD. van Vianen | ||
| 70′ | A. ThorsteinssonN. Groen | ||
| 81′ | Jaden Slory | ||
| 82′ | J. SloryC. Obi | ||
| 82′ | D. GardenG. Cairo | ||
| 85′ | I. Yegoian | ||
| 87′ | Nesto Groen |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 421 | Accurate passes | 284 |
Willem II vs Excelsior overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Willem II vs Excelsior
| Probability | Willem II | Draw | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.0% | 25.8% | 42.2% |
| Market | 31.7% | 26.0% | 42.3% |
| Final | 31.8% | 25.9% | 42.3% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
Why Excelsior
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Willem II and Excelsior expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Willem II and Excelsior attack and defence ratings
Willem II
Excelsior
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Willem II vs Excelsior: result vs prediction
Willem II 0 – 3 Excelsior
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Willem II vs Excelsior markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Excelsior | 42.3% | 2.36 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Willem II | 31.8% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Excelsior | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Excelsior win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Willem II vs Excelsior stats
Willem II vs Excelsior head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-30 | Willem II | Excelsior | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2021-07-17 | Willem II | Excelsior | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2019-04-21 | Excelsior | Willem II | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2018-09-15 | Willem II | Excelsior | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2018-04-06 | Excelsior | Willem II | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2017-08-13 | Willem II | Excelsior | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2017-02-25 | Excelsior | Willem II | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2016-09-17 | Willem II | Excelsior | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2016-02-05 | Excelsior | Willem II | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2015-11-07 | Willem II | Excelsior | Eredivisie | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Willem II vs Excelsior odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.1%, draw 26.4%, away 41.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.78 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.68 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.58 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.76 | 2.27 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.21 | 2.16 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.32 |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .