Sparta Rotterdam
vs
PEC Zwolle
2 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | I. Cissoko | ||
| 24′ | M. Zonneveld | ||
| 63′ | Sherel Constancio Floranus | ||
| 63′ | T. OostingO. Velanas | ||
| 68′ | C. TerhoI. Babadi | ||
| 69′ | I. Babadi | ||
| 75′ | S. FloranusD. van der Haar | ||
| 75′ | I. CissokoS. van Hooijdonk | ||
| 79′ | C. HatenboerJ. Toornstra | ||
| 79′ | J. BaasA. Roaldsoy | ||
| 80′ | K. Kostons | ||
| 86′ | Tobias Sommer | ||
| 86′ | B. Martins IndiN. Verschuren | ||
| 86′ | M. ZonneveldA. Kostic | ||
| 88′ | T. SommerE. Sorensen |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 391 | Accurate passes | 291 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
| Probability | Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 24.5% | 25.9% |
| Market | 49.3% | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| Final | 49.4% | 24.6% | 26.0% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
Why Sparta Rotterdam
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.32.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle attack and defence ratings
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle: result vs prediction
Sparta Rotterdam 2 – 2 PEC Zwolle
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Rotterdam | 49.4% | 2.03 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Rotterdam | 49.4% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| PEC Zwolle | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Rotterdam win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle stats
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle recent form
| Sparta Rotterdam |
LDWLLL |
| PEC Zwolle |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-04 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-12 | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2023-07-14 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-11 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-22 | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 24.7%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.95 | 3.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.82 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.68 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.90 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.52 | 3.26 |
| Superbet | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .