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Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 3

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

3 – 3 Full time

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, RotterdamReferee: Dennis Higler, Netherlands

Sparta Rotterdam 37%
Draw 27%
Utrecht 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySparta RotterdamDrawUtrecht
Model38.1%25.6%36.3%
Market36.2%27.7%36.2%
Final36.6%27.1%36.2%
Edge+1.9%-2.1%+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sparta Rotterd ↓ / Utrecht → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht expected goals

Sparta Rotterdam 1.45
Utrecht 1.77

Total expected goals: 3.21

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht attack and defence ratings

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Utrecht

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht: result vs prediction

Sparta Rotterdam 3 – 3 Utrecht

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sparta Rotterdam 36.6% 2.73 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.5% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.3% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sparta Rotterdam36.6%
Draw27.1%
Utrecht36.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%
Both teams to scoreYes64.5%
No35.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.8%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Sparta Rotterdam win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.2%
Loss69.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-18.5%
1-28.2%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht stats

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht recent form

newest first
Sparta Rotterdam WLLLDL
Utrecht LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Sparta Rotterdam wins 0Draws 0Utrecht wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-25UtrechtSparta RotterdamEredivisie0-1
2025-08-17Sparta RotterdamUtrechtEredivisie2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 27.7%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 3.48 2.67
888Sport 2.50 3.30 2.50
Bet365 2.62 3.40 2.62
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.55
Betano 2.67 3.35 2.65
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.65 3.55 2.65
Marathonbet 2.56 3.38 2.59
Pinnacle 2.64 3.51 2.70
SBO 2.46 3.26 2.52
Superbet 2.65 3.45 2.60
Unibet 2.60 3.30 2.63
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.