Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

1 – 1 Full time

2′Perr Schuurs
10′Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
31′Søren Tengstedt
45′Perr SchuursBram Nuytinck
60′Kevin KersAdam Tahaui
69′Alfons SampstedThibo Baeten
69′Julius DirksenGiovanni Van Zwam
71′Noe LebretonDennis Geiger
71′Ayodele ThomasJamiro Monteiro
77′Thibo Baeten
83′Søren TengstedtTomas Galvez
89′Mathis SurayOskar Siira Sivertsen
89′Victor Kaj EdvardsenYassir Salah Rahmouni

Stadion de Goffert, NijmegenReferee: Martijn Vos

NEC Nijmegen 43%
Draw 23%
GO Ahead Eagles 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
46 Possession % 54
5 Corners 7
8 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 4
298 Accurate passes 369

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNEC NijmegenDrawGO Ahead Eagles
Model25.5%21.0%53.5%
Market48.2%23.4%28.4%
Final42.6%22.8%34.7%
Edge-22.7%-2.4%+25.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NEC Nijmegen ↓ / GO Ahead Eagle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 8% 8% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals

NEC Nijmegen 1.63
GO Ahead Eagles 2.35

Total expected goals: 3.98

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles attack and defence ratings

NEC Nijmegen

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.32 +32%

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles: result vs prediction

NEC Nijmegen 1 – 1 GO Ahead Eagles

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NEC Nijmegen 42.6% 2.35 -22.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.2% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NEC Nijmegen42.6%
Draw22.8%
GO Ahead Eagles34.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%
Both teams to scoreYes73.4%
No26.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.3%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1NEC Nijmegen win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)13.3%
Loss74.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.4%
1-17.8%
2-26.8%

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles stats

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles going into this match

league record before kick-off

NEC Nijmegen record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.

GO Ahead Eagles record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2NEC Nijmegen wins 4Draws 4GO Ahead Eagles wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie2-1
2025-10-05GO Ahead EaglesNEC NijmegenEredivisie1-1
2025-03-09NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie2-3
2024-12-07GO Ahead EaglesNEC NijmegenEredivisie5-0
2024-05-23NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-2
2024-01-28GO Ahead EaglesNEC NijmegenEredivisie2-2
2024-01-17NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker2-1
2023-11-26NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie1-1
2023-02-05GO Ahead EaglesNEC NijmegenEredivisie1-0
2022-10-23NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.2%, draw 23.4%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 4.04 3.38
Bet365 1.90 4.00 3.70
BetVictor 1.91 4.10 3.30
Betano 2.02 4.25 3.35
Betfair 1.95 4.00 3.20
Marathonbet 1.94 3.92 3.28
Pinnacle 2.03 4.11 3.36
SBO 1.91 3.81 3.10
William Hill 1.91 3.80 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▲ +0.41
X 4.00 ▼ -0.50
2 3.30 ▼ -2.00

19 snapshots recorded, from .