AZ Alkmaar
vs
Telstar
1 – 0 Full time
| 19′ | Mexx Meerdink | ||
| 41′ | Gerald Alders | ||
| 45′ | Valdemar Byskov AndreasenKees Smit | ||
| 45′ | Gerald AldersRojendro Oudsten | ||
| 63′ | Jeff HardeveldEmirhan Demircan | ||
| 71′ | Ro Zangelo DaalAyoub Oufkir | ||
| 71′ | Calvin StengsWeslley Pinto Batista | ||
| 71′ | Mexx MeerdinkJizz Hornkamp | ||
| 74′ | Jelani SeedorfAr'jany Martha | ||
| 83′ | Rui MendesPrince Aning | ||
| 88′ | Wouter Goes | ||
| 89′ | Elijah DijkstraSeiya Maikuma |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 515 | Accurate passes | 279 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
| Probability | AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.7% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| Market | 76.2% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Final | 72.8% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Edge | -13.5% | +7.2% | +6.4% |
Why AZ Alkmaar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AZ Alkmaar and Telstar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
AZ Alkmaar and Telstar attack and defence ratings
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar: result vs prediction
AZ Alkmaar 1 – 0 Telstar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AZ Alkmaar | 72.8% | 1.37 | -13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AZ Alkmaar win | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AZ Alkmaar | 72.8% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| Telstar | 11.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AZ Alkmaar win | 40.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar stats
AZ Alkmaar and Telstar recent form
| AZ Alkmaar |
LDWWWW |
| Telstar |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AZ Alkmaar and Telstar going into this match
AZ Alkmaar record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Telstar record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | AZ Alkmaar | Telstar | KNVB Beker | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Telstar | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | AZ Alkmaar | Telstar | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 14.6%, away 9.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.26 | 6.20 | 9.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 6.98 | 10.70 |
| 888Sport | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.25 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 6.80 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 6.45 | 9.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 7.03 | 9.82 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 6.09 | 8.10 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .