Eredivisie · Full time ·Matchday 8

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

2 – 2 Full time

13′Milan Hokke
14′Tyrone Owusu
16′Jelani Seedorf
16′Yannick Fereira Eduardo
25′Evan Rottier
37′Tyrone Owusu
40′Alejandro Pozo
45′Matěj ŠínJan Zamburek
45′Alejandro PozoOthniël Raterink
58′Noach ShenkmanAr'jany Martha
59′Rui MendesNökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
60′Jalen HawkinsSekou Sylla
71′Yannick Fereira EduardoDonat Barany
72′Patrick BrouwerEmirhan Demircan
79′Evan RottierDaryl van Mieghem
85′Abdelnour Soualhia
89′Jelani SeedorfPrince Aning

Sportpark Schoonenberg, FelsenReferee: Erwin Blank

Telstar 44%
Draw 26%
ADO Den Haag 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

30 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
68 Possession % 32
8 Corners 0
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 2
551 Accurate passes 218

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTelstarDrawADO Den Haag
Model36.2%27.8%36.0%
Market46.7%24.8%28.5%
Final44.1%25.5%30.3%
Edge-2.6%+0.8%+1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Telstar ↓ / ADO Den Haag → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Telstar and ADO Den Haag expected goals

Telstar 1.39
ADO Den Haag 1.38

Total expected goals: 2.77

Telstar and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings

Telstar

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.95 -5%

ADO Den Haag

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: result vs prediction

Telstar 2 – 2 ADO Den Haag

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Telstar 44.1% 2.27 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.7% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Telstar44.1%
Draw25.5%
ADO Den Haag30.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.4%
Under 2.547.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.5%
No42.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.7%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1Telstar win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss63.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag stats

Telstar and ADO Den Haag recent form

newest first
Telstar LDLDLL
ADO Den Haag DLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Telstar and ADO Den Haag going into this match

league record before kick-off

Telstar record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ADO Den Haag record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Telstar wins 4Draws 3ADO Den Haag wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-17ADO Den HaagTelstarEredivisie0-1
2025-05-13TelstarADO Den HaagEredivisie2-0
2025-04-11TelstarADO Den HaagEerste Divisie1-1
2024-09-20ADO Den HaagTelstarEerste Divisie1-1
2024-03-15TelstarADO Den HaagEerste Divisie3-1
2023-09-22ADO Den HaagTelstarEerste Divisie1-1
2023-03-31ADO Den HaagTelstarEerste Divisie3-1
2022-11-11TelstarADO Den HaagEerste Divisie0-0
2022-03-21ADO Den HaagTelstarEerste Divisie2-1
2021-11-19TelstarADO Den HaagEerste Divisie0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 24.8%, away 28.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.01 3.80 3.55
Bet365 2.00 3.80 3.30
BetVictor 2.00 3.80 3.25
Betano 2.05 3.75 3.40
Betfair 1.95 3.90 3.20
Dafabet 2.07 3.85 3.35
Marathonbet 2.02 3.62 3.30
Pinnacle 2.08 3.78 3.47
SBO 2.01 3.37 2.99
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▼ -0.08
X 3.79 ▲ +0.04
2 3.30 ▲ +0.23

47 snapshots recorded, from .