Telstar
vs
ADO Den Haag
Garuda Lions Prediction: Telstar
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
| Probability | Telstar | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 27.8% | 36.1% |
| Market | 46.8% | 24.8% | 28.4% |
| Final | 44.1% | 25.6% | 30.3% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +3.0% | +7.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag match preview
In the upcoming Eredivisie match between Telstar and ADO Den Haag, both teams are currently struggling for form. Telstar's recent results show a sequence of one draw and five losses, while ADO Den Haag has recorded two draws and four losses in their last six matches. The model assigns a 44% probability of a Telstar victory, a 30% chance for ADO Den Haag, and a 26% likelihood of a draw.
The expected goals for both teams stand at 1.39, indicating a balanced matchup in terms of offensive potential. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Telstar, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Telstar and ADO Den Haag team news
Telstar news
ADO Den Haag news
- A. Pozo — lacking match fitness
- C. Peupion — knee injury
- L. Reischl — groin injury
- M. Jimenez — injury
- N. Thomas — shoulder injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Telstar and ADO Den Haag expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Telstar and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings
Telstar
ADO Den Haag
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telstar | 44.1% | 2.27 | -10.7% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telstar | 44.1% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| ADO Den Haag | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telstar win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag stats
Telstar and ADO Den Haag recent form
| Telstar |
LDLDLL |
| ADO Den Haag |
DLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Telstar and ADO Den Haag season so far
Telstar record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
ADO Den Haag record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 24.8%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.80 | 3.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.68 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.71 | 3.41 |
| SBO | 1.97 | 3.28 | 2.97 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .